Current forecast consensus from European and global models points to a high of 30–32°C in Madrid on September 21 under clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly flow that favors daytime radiative heating without significant cloud cover or advection of cooler air. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average highs near 26°C can be exceeded by several degrees during stable anticyclonic patterns, yet fall short of extreme heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–33°C because model runs show modest spread in peak temperature tied to exact timing of maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing. New AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 68%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
नया
नया
21 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
16%
32°C
68%
33°C
22%
34°C
11%
35°C
5%
36°C या उससे अधिक
4%
32°C 68%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
34°C 11%
नया
नया
21 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
32°C
$145 वॉल्यूम
68%
33°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
34°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
36°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European and global models points to a high of 30–32°C in Madrid on September 21 under clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly flow that favors daytime radiative heating without significant cloud cover or advection of cooler air. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average highs near 26°C can be exceeded by several degrees during stable anticyclonic patterns, yet fall short of extreme heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–33°C because model runs show modest spread in peak temperature tied to exact timing of maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing. New AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$145समाप्ति तिथि
21 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from European and global models points to a high of 30–32°C in Madrid on September 21 under clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly flow that favors daytime radiative heating without significant cloud cover or advection of cooler air. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average highs near 26°C can be exceeded by several degrees during stable anticyclonic patterns, yet fall short of extreme heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–33°C because model runs show modest spread in peak temperature tied to exact timing of maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing. New AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$145समाप्ति तिथि
21 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from European and global models points to a high of 30–32°C in Madrid on September 21 under clear skies, high pressure, and light southerly flow that favors daytime radiative heating without significant cloud cover or advection of cooler air. These conditions align with late-September climatology, where average highs near 26°C can be exceeded by several degrees during stable anticyclonic patterns, yet fall short of extreme heatwave thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 30–33°C because model runs show modest spread in peak temperature tied to exact timing of maximum insolation and boundary-layer mixing. New AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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