Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities for Milan's highest temperature on April 18—23°C at 30.5%, 24°C at 28.5%, and 25°C at 26.5%—driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 23-25°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe. This setup delivers mild southerly airflow, low precipitation risk, and strong afternoon insolation, pushing above mid-April climatological norms of 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport, where official measurements resolve the market. Differentiating factors include model spreads in partial cloud cover and urban heat amplification in the Po Valley, with clearer skies favoring 25°C and hazier conditions tilting toward 23°C. New 00Z model runs and Saturday morning observations will refine these uncertainties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Milan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
24°C 31%
23°C 30%
25°C 25%
26°C 10%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
4%
23°C
30%
24°C
31%
25°C
25%
26°C
10%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 31%
23°C 30%
25°C 25%
26°C 10%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
18°C or below
$702 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$650 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$714 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$153 वॉल्यूम
5%
22°C
$266 वॉल्यूम
4%
23°C
$203 वॉल्यूम
30%
24°C
$43 वॉल्यूम
31%
25°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
25%
26°C
$44 वॉल्यूम
10%
27°C
$92 वॉल्यूम
5%
28°C or higher
$67 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities for Milan's highest temperature on April 18—23°C at 30.5%, 24°C at 28.5%, and 25°C at 26.5%—driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 23-25°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe. This setup delivers mild southerly airflow, low precipitation risk, and strong afternoon insolation, pushing above mid-April climatological norms of 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport, where official measurements resolve the market. Differentiating factors include model spreads in partial cloud cover and urban heat amplification in the Po Valley, with clearer skies favoring 25°C and hazier conditions tilting toward 23°C. New 00Z model runs and Saturday morning observations will refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,918समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities for Milan's highest temperature on April 18—23°C at 30.5%, 24°C at 28.5%, and 25°C at 26.5%—driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 23-25°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe. This setup delivers mild southerly airflow, low precipitation risk, and strong afternoon insolation, pushing above mid-April climatological norms of 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport, where official measurements resolve the market. Differentiating factors include model spreads in partial cloud cover and urban heat amplification in the Po Valley, with clearer skies favoring 25°C and hazier conditions tilting toward 23°C. New 00Z model runs and Saturday morning observations will refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$2,918समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities for Milan's highest temperature on April 18—23°C at 30.5%, 24°C at 28.5%, and 25°C at 26.5%—driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 23-25°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over central Europe. This setup delivers mild southerly airflow, low precipitation risk, and strong afternoon insolation, pushing above mid-April climatological norms of 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport, where official measurements resolve the market. Differentiating factors include model spreads in partial cloud cover and urban heat amplification in the Po Valley, with clearer skies favoring 25°C and hazier conditions tilting toward 23°C. New 00Z model runs and Saturday morning observations will refine these uncertainties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न