Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sharp uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, with 6°C or below edging out at 50.5% implied probability amid warnings of a weekend cold snap from Russia's Meteo forecasting center, while 16°C or higher holds steady at 50% on potential ridging aloft. Recent Rosgidromet observations logged April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy showers and thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but an incoming Arctic front risks plunging advection, per Yandex Weather's outlook of 8–9°C highs with light rain or sleet. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS diverge on frontal timing and jet stream steering; new 00Z runs expected April 16–17 could clarify, as resolution hinges on official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
10°C 32%
9°C 27%
8°C 22%
12°C 21%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
6°C or below
4%
7°C
5%
8°C
22%
9°C
27%
10°C
32%
11°C
19%
12°C
21%
13°C
16%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
10°C 32%
9°C 27%
8°C 22%
12°C 21%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
6°C or below
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
7°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
8°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
9°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
27%
10°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
32%
11°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
19%
12°C
$2 वॉल्यूम
21%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
14°C
$90 वॉल्यूम
2%
15°C
$90 वॉल्यूम
1%
16°C or higher
$90 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sharp uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, with 6°C or below edging out at 50.5% implied probability amid warnings of a weekend cold snap from Russia's Meteo forecasting center, while 16°C or higher holds steady at 50% on potential ridging aloft. Recent Rosgidromet observations logged April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy showers and thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but an incoming Arctic front risks plunging advection, per Yandex Weather's outlook of 8–9°C highs with light rain or sleet. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS diverge on frontal timing and jet stream steering; new 00Z runs expected April 16–17 could clarify, as resolution hinges on official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sharp uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, with 6°C or below edging out at 50.5% implied probability amid warnings of a weekend cold snap from Russia's Meteo forecasting center, while 16°C or higher holds steady at 50% on potential ridging aloft. Recent Rosgidromet observations logged April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy showers and thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but an incoming Arctic front risks plunging advection, per Yandex Weather's outlook of 8–9°C highs with light rain or sleet. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS diverge on frontal timing and jet stream steering; new 00Z runs expected April 16–17 could clarify, as resolution hinges on official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects sharp uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Moscow's highest temperature on April 18, with 6°C or below edging out at 50.5% implied probability amid warnings of a weekend cold snap from Russia's Meteo forecasting center, while 16°C or higher holds steady at 50% on potential ridging aloft. Recent Rosgidromet observations logged April 15 highs near 12°C under cloudy showers and thunderstorms—above seasonal norms of 11–12°C—but an incoming Arctic front risks plunging advection, per Yandex Weather's outlook of 8–9°C highs with light rain or sleet. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS diverge on frontal timing and jet stream steering; new 00Z runs expected April 16–17 could clarify, as resolution hinges on official Vnukovo Airport measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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