Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a moderating pattern over Moscow, with daytime highs most likely peaking between 21–23°C on July 4 amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This consensus drives the near-even market pricing across those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of precipitation and the strength of any residual warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Historical July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show slightly cooler conditions than seasonal norms due to enhanced mid-level moisture. Updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF high-resolution runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine peak temperature estimates and could shift implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 जुलाई को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 जुलाई को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
22°C 100.0%
17°C या उससे कम <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$98,057 वॉल्यूम
$98,057 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C
नहीं
22°C
हाँ
23°C
नहीं
24°C
नहीं
25°C
नहीं
26°C
नहीं
27°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
22°C 100.0%
17°C या उससे कम <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$98,057 वॉल्यूम
$98,057 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
$1,881 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
18°C
$8,175 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
19°C
$12,518 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
20°C
$10,516 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
21°C
$35,622 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
22°C
$9,705 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
23°C
$5,337 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
24°C
$3,772 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
25°C
$3,287 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
26°C
$3,439 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
27°C या उससे अधिक
$3,807 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a moderating pattern over Moscow, with daytime highs most likely peaking between 21–23°C on July 4 amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This consensus drives the near-even market pricing across those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of precipitation and the strength of any residual warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Historical July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show slightly cooler conditions than seasonal norms due to enhanced mid-level moisture. Updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF high-resolution runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine peak temperature estimates and could shift implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$98,057समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a moderating pattern over Moscow, with daytime highs most likely peaking between 21–23°C on July 4 amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This consensus drives the near-even market pricing across those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of precipitation and the strength of any residual warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Historical July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show slightly cooler conditions than seasonal norms due to enhanced mid-level moisture. Updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF high-resolution runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine peak temperature estimates and could shift implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$98,057समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a moderating pattern over Moscow, with daytime highs most likely peaking between 21–23°C on July 4 amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. This consensus drives the near-even market pricing across those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of precipitation and the strength of any residual warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Historical July averages near 23–24°C provide context, yet current runs show slightly cooler conditions than seasonal norms due to enhanced mid-level moisture. Updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF high-resolution runs expected over the next 48 hours will refine peak temperature estimates and could shift implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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