Current model consensus from GFS and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance points to a daytime high near 17°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 46% implied probability for 17°C and 27.5% for 16°C. These outcomes sit close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.9°C for the date. Recent forecast runs have remained stable without significant model divergence or incoming weather systems that would drive notable warming or cooling. Traders appear to price in typical late-summer variability, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could still allow an 18°C outcome at 16% odds while rendering extremes below 15°C or above 19°C highly unlikely. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17°C 46%
16°C 28%
18°C 16%
15°C 5%
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
28%
17°C
46%
18°C
16%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 28%
18°C 16%
15°C 5%
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
28%
17°C
46%
18°C
16%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from GFS and official Hydrometeorological Center guidance points to a daytime high near 17°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and minimal precipitation risk, aligning with the market's leading 46% implied probability for 17°C and 27.5% for 16°C. These outcomes sit close to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.9°C for the date. Recent forecast runs have remained stable without significant model divergence or incoming weather systems that would drive notable warming or cooling. Traders appear to price in typical late-summer variability, where small shifts in cloud cover or wind could still allow an 18°C outcome at 16% odds while rendering extremes below 15°C or above 19°C highly unlikely. Updated model guidance and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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