Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 62-67°F outcomes for New York City's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting genuine uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts amid a volatile spring pattern. The National Weather Service New York office's latest area forecast discussion highlights well-above-normal temperatures through Friday, but with afternoon showers and thunderstorms likely to cap highs via increased cloud cover and limited solar insolation—key factors differentiating the closely matched bins. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread, with GFS leaning slightly warmer toward 66-67°F under stronger ridging, while ECMWF implies cooler 62-63°F with deeper trough influence and convective timing risks. Historical April averages hover near 62°F at Central Park, the resolution site; watch evening updates for refined guidance ahead of the frontal approach Sunday.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in NYC on April 18?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 18?
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 22%
68-69°F 17%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
8%
72°F or higher
14%
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 25%
66-67°F 22%
68-69°F 17%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
53°F or below
$598 वॉल्यूम
<1%
54-55°F
$609 वॉल्यूम
<1%
56-57°F
$606 वॉल्यूम
<1%
58-59°F
$32 वॉल्यूम
6%
60-61°F
$246 वॉल्यूम
13%
62-63°F
$175 वॉल्यूम
25%
64-65°F
$95 वॉल्यूम
30%
66-67°F
$90 वॉल्यूम
22%
68-69°F
$139 वॉल्यूम
14%
70-71°F
$208 वॉल्यूम
8%
72°F or higher
$432 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 62-67°F outcomes for New York City's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting genuine uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts amid a volatile spring pattern. The National Weather Service New York office's latest area forecast discussion highlights well-above-normal temperatures through Friday, but with afternoon showers and thunderstorms likely to cap highs via increased cloud cover and limited solar insolation—key factors differentiating the closely matched bins. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread, with GFS leaning slightly warmer toward 66-67°F under stronger ridging, while ECMWF implies cooler 62-63°F with deeper trough influence and convective timing risks. Historical April averages hover near 62°F at Central Park, the resolution site; watch evening updates for refined guidance ahead of the frontal approach Sunday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,229समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 62-67°F outcomes for New York City's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting genuine uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts amid a volatile spring pattern. The National Weather Service New York office's latest area forecast discussion highlights well-above-normal temperatures through Friday, but with afternoon showers and thunderstorms likely to cap highs via increased cloud cover and limited solar insolation—key factors differentiating the closely matched bins. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread, with GFS leaning slightly warmer toward 66-67°F under stronger ridging, while ECMWF implies cooler 62-63°F with deeper trough influence and convective timing risks. Historical April averages hover near 62°F at Central Park, the resolution site; watch evening updates for refined guidance ahead of the frontal approach Sunday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$3,229समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 62-67°F outcomes for New York City's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting genuine uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts amid a volatile spring pattern. The National Weather Service New York office's latest area forecast discussion highlights well-above-normal temperatures through Friday, but with afternoon showers and thunderstorms likely to cap highs via increased cloud cover and limited solar insolation—key factors differentiating the closely matched bins. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread, with GFS leaning slightly warmer toward 66-67°F under stronger ridging, while ECMWF implies cooler 62-63°F with deeper trough influence and convective timing risks. Historical April averages hover near 62°F at Central Park, the resolution site; watch evening updates for refined guidance ahead of the frontal approach Sunday.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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