Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus have driven the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F for New York City’s maximum temperature on August 24, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under a typical late-summer high-pressure pattern. Subtle variations in predicted sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification differentiate the leading bins, with traders weighting the most recent short-range guidance that places the highest likelihood near 80–81°F. Historical late-August climatology in the region shows similar day-to-day spreads of 3–5°F due to these local factors, underscoring why no single outcome exceeds a 42% implied probability ahead of tomorrow’s observations at official stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
24 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 6%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 42%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 6%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
67°F or below
$69 वॉल्यूम
<1%
68-69°F
$69 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70-71°F
$69 वॉल्यूम
<1%
72-73°F
$90 वॉल्यूम
1%
74-75°F
$201 वॉल्यूम
3%
76-77°F
$231 वॉल्यूम
6%
78-79°F
$561 वॉल्यूम
35%
80-81°F
$2,204 वॉल्यूम
42%
82-83°F
$449 वॉल्यूम
14%
84-85°F
$90 वॉल्यूम
4%
86°F or higher
$152 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus have driven the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F for New York City’s maximum temperature on August 24, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under a typical late-summer high-pressure pattern. Subtle variations in predicted sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification differentiate the leading bins, with traders weighting the most recent short-range guidance that places the highest likelihood near 80–81°F. Historical late-August climatology in the region shows similar day-to-day spreads of 3–5°F due to these local factors, underscoring why no single outcome exceeds a 42% implied probability ahead of tomorrow’s observations at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,187समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus have driven the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F for New York City’s maximum temperature on August 24, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under a typical late-summer high-pressure pattern. Subtle variations in predicted sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification differentiate the leading bins, with traders weighting the most recent short-range guidance that places the highest likelihood near 80–81°F. Historical late-August climatology in the region shows similar day-to-day spreads of 3–5°F due to these local factors, underscoring why no single outcome exceeds a 42% implied probability ahead of tomorrow’s observations at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$4,187समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus have driven the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F for New York City’s maximum temperature on August 24, reflecting modest uncertainty in peak heating under a typical late-summer high-pressure pattern. Subtle variations in predicted sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island amplification differentiate the leading bins, with traders weighting the most recent short-range guidance that places the highest likelihood near 80–81°F. Historical late-August climatology in the region shows similar day-to-day spreads of 3–5°F due to these local factors, underscoring why no single outcome exceeds a 42% implied probability ahead of tomorrow’s observations at official stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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