Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Paris high of 20°C at 29% implied probability, driven by the latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting mild conditions with daytime highs of 19–21°C on April 18 amid a warming spring trend over Île-de-France. Recent developments include a gradual temperature rise from 18°C earlier in the week to 21°C potential, supported by southerly flows and partly cloudy to overcast skies, though scattered showers could temper peaks. High uncertainty stems from model spread—cloud cover variability might cap temperatures at 19°C or allow brief sun to boost to 22°C—typical for 48-hour outlooks where small upper-air shifts matter. Watch Météo-France updates and hourly observations at official stations like Paris-Montsouris for resolution cues.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Paris on April 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 18?
20°C 28%
19°C 19%
21°C 18%
22°C 15%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
28%
21°C
18%
22°C
15%
23°C or higher
6%
20°C 28%
19°C 19%
21°C 18%
22°C 15%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
28%
21°C
18%
22°C
15%
23°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a Paris high of 20°C at 29% implied probability, driven by the latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting mild conditions with daytime highs of 19–21°C on April 18 amid a warming spring trend over Île-de-France. Recent developments include a gradual temperature rise from 18°C earlier in the week to 21°C potential, supported by southerly flows and partly cloudy to overcast skies, though scattered showers could temper peaks. High uncertainty stems from model spread—cloud cover variability might cap temperatures at 19°C or allow brief sun to boost to 22°C—typical for 48-hour outlooks where small upper-air shifts matter. Watch Météo-France updates and hourly observations at official stations like Paris-Montsouris for resolution cues.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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