Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to a highest temperature of 22–24°C in Paris on August 29, with persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southwesterly winds suppressing daytime heating. These conditions follow a brief warm spell earlier in the week and align with the market’s tight clustering around 23°C (34%) and 24°C (26.5%). Key scientific differentiators include the degree of insolation blocked by stratiform clouds, the timing and intensity of precipitation-driven evaporative cooling, and boundary-layer moisture from the maritime air mass. Model spread in cloud thickness or any late-day clearing could easily shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities fluid until updated runs and observational data arrive closer to the date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23°C 34%
24°C 27%
22°C 18%
25°C or higher 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
18%
23°C
34%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
11%
23°C 34%
24°C 27%
22°C 18%
25°C or higher 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
18%
23°C
34%
24°C
27%
25°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF point to a highest temperature of 22–24°C in Paris on August 29, with persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and southwesterly winds suppressing daytime heating. These conditions follow a brief warm spell earlier in the week and align with the market’s tight clustering around 23°C (34%) and 24°C (26.5%). Key scientific differentiators include the degree of insolation blocked by stratiform clouds, the timing and intensity of precipitation-driven evaporative cooling, and boundary-layer moisture from the maritime air mass. Model spread in cloud thickness or any late-day clearing could easily shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, keeping probabilities fluid until updated runs and observational data arrive closer to the date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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