Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, following the late-June heatwave that drove Paris highs near 40°C, indicate moderating conditions with a July 3 maximum most likely in the 28–29°C range. Post-heatwave subsidence, northwest winds, and partial cloud cover are limiting further warming while keeping values above the early-July climatological baseline of 24–26°C. Model spreads and potential for localized variations create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes, aligning with the market's closely matched leading probabilities and reduced odds for extremes above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will further refine trader assessments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 जुलाई को पेरिस में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
3 जुलाई को पेरिस में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$176,690 वॉल्यूम
$176,690 वॉल्यूम
3 जुल, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$176,690 वॉल्यूम
$176,690 वॉल्यूम
3 जुल, 2026
24°C or below
$12,919 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$4,868 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$10,262 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$31,422 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$30,376 वॉल्यूम
Yes
29°C
$31,933 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$18,689 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$19,341 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$7,248 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C
$3,824 वॉल्यूम
No
34°C or higher
$5,807 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, following the late-June heatwave that drove Paris highs near 40°C, indicate moderating conditions with a July 3 maximum most likely in the 28–29°C range. Post-heatwave subsidence, northwest winds, and partial cloud cover are limiting further warming while keeping values above the early-July climatological baseline of 24–26°C. Model spreads and potential for localized variations create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes, aligning with the market's closely matched leading probabilities and reduced odds for extremes above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will further refine trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$176,690समाप्ति तिथि
3 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, following the late-June heatwave that drove Paris highs near 40°C, indicate moderating conditions with a July 3 maximum most likely in the 28–29°C range. Post-heatwave subsidence, northwest winds, and partial cloud cover are limiting further warming while keeping values above the early-July climatological baseline of 24–26°C. Model spreads and potential for localized variations create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes, aligning with the market's closely matched leading probabilities and reduced odds for extremes above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will further refine trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$176,690समाप्ति तिथि
3 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models, following the late-June heatwave that drove Paris highs near 40°C, indicate moderating conditions with a July 3 maximum most likely in the 28–29°C range. Post-heatwave subsidence, northwest winds, and partial cloud cover are limiting further warming while keeping values above the early-July climatological baseline of 24–26°C. Model spreads and potential for localized variations create tight uncertainty between these two outcomes, aligning with the market's closely matched leading probabilities and reduced odds for extremes above 30°C or below 27°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance ahead of the date will further refine trader assessments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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