Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a moderation after late-June heatwave peaks near 39°C, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 4 most likely settling in the 29–31°C range under lingering high pressure and southerly flow. Subtle differences among 30°C, 31°C, and 29°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification, all of which remain within typical ensemble spread two days out. Historical July averages near 24–25°C underscore the elevated baseline, yet current conditions favor values several degrees above normal without crossing into the low-probability 32°C+ tail. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 जुलाई को पेरिस में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 जुलाई को पेरिस में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$127,419 वॉल्यूम
$127,419 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$127,419 वॉल्यूम
$127,419 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
25°C or below
$8,612 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$9,358 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$7,134 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$8,084 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$19,915 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$27,815 वॉल्यूम
Yes
31°C
$20,226 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$12,007 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C
$7,657 वॉल्यूम
No
34°C
$2,596 वॉल्यूम
No
35°C or higher
$4,014 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a moderation after late-June heatwave peaks near 39°C, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 4 most likely settling in the 29–31°C range under lingering high pressure and southerly flow. Subtle differences among 30°C, 31°C, and 29°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification, all of which remain within typical ensemble spread two days out. Historical July averages near 24–25°C underscore the elevated baseline, yet current conditions favor values several degrees above normal without crossing into the low-probability 32°C+ tail. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$127,419समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a moderation after late-June heatwave peaks near 39°C, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 4 most likely settling in the 29–31°C range under lingering high pressure and southerly flow. Subtle differences among 30°C, 31°C, and 29°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification, all of which remain within typical ensemble spread two days out. Historical July averages near 24–25°C underscore the elevated baseline, yet current conditions favor values several degrees above normal without crossing into the low-probability 32°C+ tail. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$127,419समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Recent model guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles points to a moderation after late-June heatwave peaks near 39°C, with Paris maximum temperatures on July 4 most likely settling in the 29–31°C range under lingering high pressure and southerly flow. Subtle differences among 30°C, 31°C, and 29°C outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any Atlantic trough approach, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification, all of which remain within typical ensemble spread two days out. Historical July averages near 24–25°C underscore the elevated baseline, yet current conditions favor values several degrees above normal without crossing into the low-probability 32°C+ tail. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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