**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 25, reflecting 78% implied probability amid typical late-June warming.** Current ensemble forecasts from global models show expected highs near 26–29°C under mostly cloudy, stable conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with climatological averages of 24–27°C for the period. However, day-to-day variability, potential model underestimation of daytime heating, and the narrow two-day forecast window allow for upside surprises if subsidence strengthens or insolation increases. Historical extremes occasionally exceed 30°C even without major heatwaves, supporting the market’s pricing of elevated odds while lower-temperature outcomes remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 25?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 25?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$40,861 वॉल्यूम
$40,861 वॉल्यूम
25 जून, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$40,861 वॉल्यूम
$40,861 वॉल्यूम
25 जून, 2026
20°C or below
$417 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$493 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$453 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$493 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$504 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$1,168 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$1,315 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$1,043 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$2,564 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$2,323 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C or higher
$30,089 वॉल्यूम
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 25, reflecting 78% implied probability amid typical late-June warming.** Current ensemble forecasts from global models show expected highs near 26–29°C under mostly cloudy, stable conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with climatological averages of 24–27°C for the period. However, day-to-day variability, potential model underestimation of daytime heating, and the narrow two-day forecast window allow for upside surprises if subsidence strengthens or insolation increases. Historical extremes occasionally exceed 30°C even without major heatwaves, supporting the market’s pricing of elevated odds while lower-temperature outcomes remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$40,861समाप्ति तिथि
25 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 25, reflecting 78% implied probability amid typical late-June warming.** Current ensemble forecasts from global models show expected highs near 26–29°C under mostly cloudy, stable conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with climatological averages of 24–27°C for the period. However, day-to-day variability, potential model underestimation of daytime heating, and the narrow two-day forecast window allow for upside surprises if subsidence strengthens or insolation increases. Historical extremes occasionally exceed 30°C even without major heatwaves, supporting the market’s pricing of elevated odds while lower-temperature outcomes remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$40,861समाप्ति तिथि
25 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 30°C or higher in Qingdao on June 25, reflecting 78% implied probability amid typical late-June warming.** Current ensemble forecasts from global models show expected highs near 26–29°C under mostly cloudy, stable conditions with moderate humidity and light southerly flow, consistent with climatological averages of 24–27°C for the period. However, day-to-day variability, potential model underestimation of daytime heating, and the narrow two-day forecast window allow for upside surprises if subsidence strengthens or insolation increases. Historical extremes occasionally exceed 30°C even without major heatwaves, supporting the market’s pricing of elevated odds while lower-temperature outcomes remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date represent the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न