Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 6?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 6?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$119,524 वॉल्यूम
$119,524 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$119,524 वॉल्यूम
$119,524 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
22°C or below
$32,001 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$9,881 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$39,688 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$19,808 वॉल्यूम
Yes
26°C
$7,123 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$4,121 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$2,225 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$2,027 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$1,562 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$519 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C or higher
$570 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$119,524समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$119,524समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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