Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching exactly 18°C on May 2, backed by official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at stations like Jongno, where daytime readings peaked at 18°C amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This follows May 1's clearer skies yielding near 24°C highs, with forecast models from KMA and global ensembles like ECMWF initially projecting 20–22°C before revising downward on intraday satellite imagery showing thick overcast suppressing convective warming. Early May climatology typically sees highs around 20–22°C, but such cloud-induced variability is common; a realistic challenge would require rare post hoc data revisions from KMA audits, though official tallies from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. local time confirm resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Seoul on May 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 2?
18°C 100.0%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$270,619 वॉल्यूम
$270,619 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$270,619 वॉल्यूम
$270,619 वॉल्यूम
2 मई, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
$4,548 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12°C
$1,072 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
13°C
$6,066 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C
$5,970 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
15°C
$17,232 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
16°C
$49,059 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
17°C
$36,839 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$32,201 वॉल्यूम
Yes
19°C
$34,410 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$31,757 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C or higher
$51,466 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching exactly 18°C on May 2, backed by official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at stations like Jongno, where daytime readings peaked at 18°C amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This follows May 1's clearer skies yielding near 24°C highs, with forecast models from KMA and global ensembles like ECMWF initially projecting 20–22°C before revising downward on intraday satellite imagery showing thick overcast suppressing convective warming. Early May climatology typically sees highs around 20–22°C, but such cloud-induced variability is common; a realistic challenge would require rare post hoc data revisions from KMA audits, though official tallies from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. local time confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$270,619समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching exactly 18°C on May 2, backed by official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at stations like Jongno, where daytime readings peaked at 18°C amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This follows May 1's clearer skies yielding near 24°C highs, with forecast models from KMA and global ensembles like ECMWF initially projecting 20–22°C before revising downward on intraday satellite imagery showing thick overcast suppressing convective warming. Early May climatology typically sees highs around 20–22°C, but such cloud-induced variability is common; a realistic challenge would require rare post hoc data revisions from KMA audits, though official tallies from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. local time confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$270,619समाप्ति तिथि
2 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching exactly 18°C on May 2, backed by official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) at stations like Jongno, where daytime readings peaked at 18°C amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This follows May 1's clearer skies yielding near 24°C highs, with forecast models from KMA and global ensembles like ECMWF initially projecting 20–22°C before revising downward on intraday satellite imagery showing thick overcast suppressing convective warming. Early May climatology typically sees highs around 20–22°C, but such cloud-induced variability is common; a realistic challenge would require rare post hoc data revisions from KMA audits, though official tallies from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. local time confirm resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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