Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range weather model ensembles for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, with ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance clustering around 19-22°C but spreading to 25°C amid divergent cloud cover and southerly flow predictions. A recent cold frontal passage through eastern China on April 13-15 suppressed early-week highs below 18°C, but post-frontal ridging and potential diurnal heating now favor mild spring conditions, aligning with April climatological averages of 19.5°C daytime maxima. Key differentiators include model disagreements on low-level moisture persistence—favoring 19-20°C under overcast skies versus 22-25°C+ with clearer conditions and stronger warm advection. Watch 00Z model updates April 17 for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 18?
19°C 33%
20°C 30%
21°C 15%
18°C 14%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
15%
19°C
27%
20°C
30%
21°C
15%
22°C
8%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
19°C 33%
20°C 30%
21°C 15%
18°C 14%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
15°C or below
$185 वॉल्यूम
1%
16°C
$90 वॉल्यूम
2%
17°C
$63 वॉल्यूम
5%
18°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
15%
19°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
27%
20°C
$21 वॉल्यूम
30%
21°C
$165 वॉल्यूम
15%
22°C
$137 वॉल्यूम
8%
23°C
$91 वॉल्यूम
7%
24°C
$77 वॉल्यूम
3%
25°C or higher
$78 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range weather model ensembles for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, with ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance clustering around 19-22°C but spreading to 25°C amid divergent cloud cover and southerly flow predictions. A recent cold frontal passage through eastern China on April 13-15 suppressed early-week highs below 18°C, but post-frontal ridging and potential diurnal heating now favor mild spring conditions, aligning with April climatological averages of 19.5°C daytime maxima. Key differentiators include model disagreements on low-level moisture persistence—favoring 19-20°C under overcast skies versus 22-25°C+ with clearer conditions and stronger warm advection. Watch 00Z model updates April 17 for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$713समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range weather model ensembles for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, with ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance clustering around 19-22°C but spreading to 25°C amid divergent cloud cover and southerly flow predictions. A recent cold frontal passage through eastern China on April 13-15 suppressed early-week highs below 18°C, but post-frontal ridging and potential diurnal heating now favor mild spring conditions, aligning with April climatological averages of 19.5°C daytime maxima. Key differentiators include model disagreements on low-level moisture persistence—favoring 19-20°C under overcast skies versus 22-25°C+ with clearer conditions and stronger warm advection. Watch 00Z model updates April 17 for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$713समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range weather model ensembles for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 18, with ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance clustering around 19-22°C but spreading to 25°C amid divergent cloud cover and southerly flow predictions. A recent cold frontal passage through eastern China on April 13-15 suppressed early-week highs below 18°C, but post-frontal ridging and potential diurnal heating now favor mild spring conditions, aligning with April climatological averages of 19.5°C daytime maxima. Key differentiators include model disagreements on low-level moisture persistence—favoring 19-20°C under overcast skies versus 22-25°C+ with clearer conditions and stronger warm advection. Watch 00Z model updates April 17 for refined probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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