Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 10, driven by official hourly observations from the station and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 24°C under persistent overcast skies that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and recent bulletins align with this, showing temperatures falling to 19°C by evening, well below initial forecasts of 25–26°C amid typical May cloudiness and light winds. This reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements over model projections. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision upward from Pudong records or undocumented late-afternoon spike before midnight resolution, both improbable given current cooling trends and climatological norms for early May highs averaging 24–25°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 मई को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10 मई को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 100.0%
18°C या उससे कम <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$213,890 वॉल्यूम
$213,890 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
18°C या उससे कम
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C
नहीं
22°C
नहीं
23°C
नहीं
24°C
हाँ
25°C
नहीं
26°C
नहीं
27°C
नहीं
28°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
24°C 100.0%
18°C या उससे कम <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$213,890 वॉल्यूम
$213,890 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
18°C या उससे कम
$7,194 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
19°C
$3,390 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
20°C
$4,979 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
21°C
$12,239 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
22°C
$13,102 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
23°C
$21,955 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
24°C
$26,515 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
25°C
$53,673 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
26°C
$39,298 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
27°C
$13,528 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
28°C या उससे अधिक
$18,016 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 10, driven by official hourly observations from the station and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 24°C under persistent overcast skies that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and recent bulletins align with this, showing temperatures falling to 19°C by evening, well below initial forecasts of 25–26°C amid typical May cloudiness and light winds. This reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements over model projections. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision upward from Pudong records or undocumented late-afternoon spike before midnight resolution, both improbable given current cooling trends and climatological norms for early May highs averaging 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$213,890समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 10, driven by official hourly observations from the station and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 24°C under persistent overcast skies that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and recent bulletins align with this, showing temperatures falling to 19°C by evening, well below initial forecasts of 25–26°C amid typical May cloudiness and light winds. This reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements over model projections. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision upward from Pudong records or undocumented late-afternoon spike before midnight resolution, both improbable given current cooling trends and climatological norms for early May highs averaging 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$213,890समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 10, driven by official hourly observations from the station and METAR reports confirming a midday peak of 24°C under persistent overcast skies that suppressed solar heating. China Meteorological Administration data and recent bulletins align with this, showing temperatures falling to 19°C by evening, well below initial forecasts of 25–26°C amid typical May cloudiness and light winds. This reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified measurements over model projections. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision upward from Pudong records or undocumented late-afternoon spike before midnight resolution, both improbable given current cooling trends and climatological norms for early May highs averaging 24–25°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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