Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C at 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—showing a peak of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered showers that have limited daytime solar heating. Current hourly readings from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF confirm temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C in the late afternoon, well below May climatological averages of 29°C due to a recent influx of moist southerly air. While a dramatic clearing before sunset (around 6:50 PM local time) could enable brief convective warming to 27°C, the low solar angle and overcast conditions render this scenario highly improbable, solidifying the market's positioning. Final airport data releases by midnight will confirm resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 6?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$73,420 वॉल्यूम
$73,420 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$73,420 वॉल्यूम
$73,420 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
22°C or below
$856 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$476 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$1,021 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$3,521 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$24,842 वॉल्यूम
Yes
27°C
$10,805 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$18,846 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$5,326 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$4,236 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$2,427 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C or higher
$1,064 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C at 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—showing a peak of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered showers that have limited daytime solar heating. Current hourly readings from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF confirm temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C in the late afternoon, well below May climatological averages of 29°C due to a recent influx of moist southerly air. While a dramatic clearing before sunset (around 6:50 PM local time) could enable brief convective warming to 27°C, the low solar angle and overcast conditions render this scenario highly improbable, solidifying the market's positioning. Final airport data releases by midnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$73,420समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C at 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—showing a peak of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered showers that have limited daytime solar heating. Current hourly readings from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF confirm temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C in the late afternoon, well below May climatological averages of 29°C due to a recent influx of moist southerly air. While a dramatic clearing before sunset (around 6:50 PM local time) could enable brief convective warming to 27°C, the low solar angle and overcast conditions render this scenario highly improbable, solidifying the market's positioning. Final airport data releases by midnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$73,420समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C at 100% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—showing a peak of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 70%, and scattered showers that have limited daytime solar heating. Current hourly readings from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF confirm temperatures stabilizing around 25–26°C in the late afternoon, well below May climatological averages of 29°C due to a recent influx of moist southerly air. While a dramatic clearing before sunset (around 6:50 PM local time) could enable brief convective warming to 27°C, the low solar angle and overcast conditions render this scenario highly improbable, solidifying the market's positioning. Final airport data releases by midnight will confirm resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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