Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 4 centers on 31°C at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest ensemble model runs from regional meteorological services that project peak readings near that threshold under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of Mediterranean summer. Supporting outcomes at 30°C and 32°C capture remaining spread in forecast guidance, with minimal signals for extremes above 34°C or below 29°C. Historical July baselines around 30–32°C, combined with stable sea-surface temperatures and limited synoptic forcing for intensification, anchor these probabilities. Updated model consensus expected within 48 hours could refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 जुलाई को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 जुलाई को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$45,352 वॉल्यूम
$45,352 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$45,352 वॉल्यूम
$45,352 वॉल्यूम
4 जुल, 2026
27°C or below
$2,191 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$2,889 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$2,984 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$8,736 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$10,694 वॉल्यूम
Yes
32°C
$5,212 वॉल्यूम
No
33°C
$3,310 वॉल्यूम
No
34°C
$2,161 वॉल्यूम
No
35°C
$2,433 वॉल्यूम
No
36°C
$3,331 वॉल्यूम
No
37°C or higher
$1,410 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 4 centers on 31°C at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest ensemble model runs from regional meteorological services that project peak readings near that threshold under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of Mediterranean summer. Supporting outcomes at 30°C and 32°C capture remaining spread in forecast guidance, with minimal signals for extremes above 34°C or below 29°C. Historical July baselines around 30–32°C, combined with stable sea-surface temperatures and limited synoptic forcing for intensification, anchor these probabilities. Updated model consensus expected within 48 hours could refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$45,352समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 4 centers on 31°C at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest ensemble model runs from regional meteorological services that project peak readings near that threshold under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of Mediterranean summer. Supporting outcomes at 30°C and 32°C capture remaining spread in forecast guidance, with minimal signals for extremes above 34°C or below 29°C. Historical July baselines around 30–32°C, combined with stable sea-surface temperatures and limited synoptic forcing for intensification, anchor these probabilities. Updated model consensus expected within 48 hours could refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$45,352समाप्ति तिथि
4 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 2, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 4 centers on 31°C at 43.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest ensemble model runs from regional meteorological services that project peak readings near that threshold under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of Mediterranean summer. Supporting outcomes at 30°C and 32°C capture remaining spread in forecast guidance, with minimal signals for extremes above 34°C or below 29°C. Historical July baselines around 30–32°C, combined with stable sea-surface temperatures and limited synoptic forcing for intensification, anchor these probabilities. Updated model consensus expected within 48 hours could refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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