Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,275 वॉल्यूम
$60,275 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,275 वॉल्यूम
$60,275 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
16°C or below
$6,251 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$532 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$575 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$15,926 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$6,895 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$8,131 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$8,690 वॉल्यूम
Yes
23°C
$5,256 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$3,507 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$2,228 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C or higher
$2,284 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$60,275समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$60,275समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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