The market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for a 32°C high in Tel Aviv on September 12 stems from real-time observational data and model consensus showing peak temperatures stabilizing at that level under typical late-summer conditions. Official monitoring from regional meteorological agencies, incorporating surface station readings and atmospheric profiles, aligns closely with this outcome, consistent with historical September baselines for the eastern Mediterranean where daytime maxima often hover near 31–33°C absent unusual heat advection. Minor probabilities for 33°C or lower values reflect residual uncertainty in final hourly maxima or minor station variations. Updated forecasts later today could shift resolution only if unseasonal cooling or measurement adjustments occur, though current conditions make such revisions improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को तेल अवीव में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 99.6%
33°C <1%
28°C या उससे कम <1%
29°C <1%
$24,703 वॉल्यूम
$24,703 वॉल्यूम
28°C या उससे कम
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
32°C 99.6%
33°C <1%
28°C या उससे कम <1%
29°C <1%
$24,703 वॉल्यूम
$24,703 वॉल्यूम
28°C या उससे कम
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 99.7% implied probability for a 32°C high in Tel Aviv on September 12 stems from real-time observational data and model consensus showing peak temperatures stabilizing at that level under typical late-summer conditions. Official monitoring from regional meteorological agencies, incorporating surface station readings and atmospheric profiles, aligns closely with this outcome, consistent with historical September baselines for the eastern Mediterranean where daytime maxima often hover near 31–33°C absent unusual heat advection. Minor probabilities for 33°C or lower values reflect residual uncertainty in final hourly maxima or minor station variations. Updated forecasts later today could shift resolution only if unseasonal cooling or measurement adjustments occur, though current conditions make such revisions improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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