Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and ensemble models have solidified trader consensus around a 24°C maximum temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station today, May 11, with persistent cloud cover and a trough pattern limiting solar heating to match the daily normal of 23.3°C. Observations throughout the day, including social reports of 17–24°C ranges under mostly cloudy skies, show temperatures peaking near this threshold without exceeding it, driving the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C. This positioning reflects low atmospheric instability and subdued insolation, aligning with early May climatology. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief radiative warming to 25°C, though model consensus gives this less than 2% odds; final JMA observations post-midnight will confirm resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 11?
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$157,797 वॉल्यूम
$157,797 वॉल्यूम
11 मई, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$157,797 वॉल्यूम
$157,797 वॉल्यूम
11 मई, 2026
15°C or below
$761 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$1,742 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$578 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$427 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$2,556 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$2,183 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$4,284 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$12,127 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$84,569 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$20,324 वॉल्यूम
Yes
25°C or higher
$28,245 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and ensemble models have solidified trader consensus around a 24°C maximum temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station today, May 11, with persistent cloud cover and a trough pattern limiting solar heating to match the daily normal of 23.3°C. Observations throughout the day, including social reports of 17–24°C ranges under mostly cloudy skies, show temperatures peaking near this threshold without exceeding it, driving the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C. This positioning reflects low atmospheric instability and subdued insolation, aligning with early May climatology. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief radiative warming to 25°C, though model consensus gives this less than 2% odds; final JMA observations post-midnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 9, 2026, 3:37 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$157,797समाप्ति तिथि
11 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 9, 2026, 3:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and ensemble models have solidified trader consensus around a 24°C maximum temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station today, May 11, with persistent cloud cover and a trough pattern limiting solar heating to match the daily normal of 23.3°C. Observations throughout the day, including social reports of 17–24°C ranges under mostly cloudy skies, show temperatures peaking near this threshold without exceeding it, driving the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C. This positioning reflects low atmospheric instability and subdued insolation, aligning with early May climatology. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief radiative warming to 25°C, though model consensus gives this less than 2% odds; final JMA observations post-midnight will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$157,797समाप्ति तिथि
11 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 9, 2026, 3:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts and ensemble models have solidified trader consensus around a 24°C maximum temperature at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station today, May 11, with persistent cloud cover and a trough pattern limiting solar heating to match the daily normal of 23.3°C. Observations throughout the day, including social reports of 17–24°C ranges under mostly cloudy skies, show temperatures peaking near this threshold without exceeding it, driving the market-implied 100% probability for 24°C. This positioning reflects low atmospheric instability and subdued insolation, aligning with early May climatology. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief radiative warming to 25°C, though model consensus gives this less than 2% odds; final JMA observations post-midnight will confirm resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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