**Trader consensus has locked in 22°C at 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 6, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest observational data and short-term forecasts showing peak readings at Haneda Airport station around 22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light southerly winds.** Morning temperatures started near 18°C, with model consensus from JMA's nowcasts indicating limited daytime heating due to overcast conditions capping solar insolation, aligning closely with the May climatological normal of 22.8°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time AMEDAS station data and minimal upside from current synoptic patterns—a weak high-pressure ridge and incoming cooler air mass. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing and stronger insolation in the afternoon, potentially pushing sustained winds below 23°C, though low solar angles late in the day reduce this likelihood; final JMA tallies expected by evening UTC.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 6?
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$163,579 वॉल्यूम
$163,579 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$163,579 वॉल्यूम
$163,579 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
14°C or below
$10,794 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$12,279 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$242 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$1,103 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$11,231 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$12,735 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$15,492 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$37,279 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$24,813 वॉल्यूम
Yes
23°C
$16,386 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C or higher
$21,224 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in 22°C at 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 6, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest observational data and short-term forecasts showing peak readings at Haneda Airport station around 22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light southerly winds.** Morning temperatures started near 18°C, with model consensus from JMA's nowcasts indicating limited daytime heating due to overcast conditions capping solar insolation, aligning closely with the May climatological normal of 22.8°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time AMEDAS station data and minimal upside from current synoptic patterns—a weak high-pressure ridge and incoming cooler air mass. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing and stronger insolation in the afternoon, potentially pushing sustained winds below 23°C, though low solar angles late in the day reduce this likelihood; final JMA tallies expected by evening UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$163,579समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in 22°C at 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 6, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest observational data and short-term forecasts showing peak readings at Haneda Airport station around 22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light southerly winds.** Morning temperatures started near 18°C, with model consensus from JMA's nowcasts indicating limited daytime heating due to overcast conditions capping solar insolation, aligning closely with the May climatological normal of 22.8°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time AMEDAS station data and minimal upside from current synoptic patterns—a weak high-pressure ridge and incoming cooler air mass. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing and stronger insolation in the afternoon, potentially pushing sustained winds below 23°C, though low solar angles late in the day reduce this likelihood; final JMA tallies expected by evening UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$163,579समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
**Trader consensus has locked in 22°C at 100% implied probability for Tokyo's highest temperature on May 6, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest observational data and short-term forecasts showing peak readings at Haneda Airport station around 22°C under persistent cloudy skies and light southerly winds.** Morning temperatures started near 18°C, with model consensus from JMA's nowcasts indicating limited daytime heating due to overcast conditions capping solar insolation, aligning closely with the May climatological normal of 22.8°C. This positioning reflects strong evidence from real-time AMEDAS station data and minimal upside from current synoptic patterns—a weak high-pressure ridge and incoming cooler air mass. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing and stronger insolation in the afternoon, potentially pushing sustained winds below 23°C, though low solar angles late in the day reduce this likelihood; final JMA tallies expected by evening UTC.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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