Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 13°C (35.5% implied probability) for Warsaw on April 18, reflecting the latest IMGW-PIB synoptic forecasts and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing northerly winds advecting cool maritime air from the Baltic region amid a persistent upper-level trough over Central Europe. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with April 16 highs around 15-16°C under light cloud cover and chilly mornings near 7°C, aligning with below-average spring conditions (historical April mean high ~13°C). Competing outcomes near 16-20°C (19-20.5%) capture model spread, as GFS and BBC projections suggest slightly warmer 17-18°C possibilities if high pressure builds. New ECMWF and IMGW updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Warsaw station data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
18°C 39%
17°C 29%
19°C 18%
16°C 17%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
11%
14°C
11%
15°C
12%
16°C
17%
17°C
29%
18°C
34%
19°C
18%
20°C or higher
17%
18°C 39%
17°C 29%
19°C 18%
16°C 17%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
10°C or below
$429 वॉल्यूम
1%
11°C
$54 वॉल्यूम
3%
12°C
$9 वॉल्यूम
3%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
17%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
18°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
34%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
20°C or higher
$4 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 13°C (35.5% implied probability) for Warsaw on April 18, reflecting the latest IMGW-PIB synoptic forecasts and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing northerly winds advecting cool maritime air from the Baltic region amid a persistent upper-level trough over Central Europe. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with April 16 highs around 15-16°C under light cloud cover and chilly mornings near 7°C, aligning with below-average spring conditions (historical April mean high ~13°C). Competing outcomes near 16-20°C (19-20.5%) capture model spread, as GFS and BBC projections suggest slightly warmer 17-18°C possibilities if high pressure builds. New ECMWF and IMGW updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Warsaw station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$65समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 13°C (35.5% implied probability) for Warsaw on April 18, reflecting the latest IMGW-PIB synoptic forecasts and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing northerly winds advecting cool maritime air from the Baltic region amid a persistent upper-level trough over Central Europe. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with April 16 highs around 15-16°C under light cloud cover and chilly mornings near 7°C, aligning with below-average spring conditions (historical April mean high ~13°C). Competing outcomes near 16-20°C (19-20.5%) capture model spread, as GFS and BBC projections suggest slightly warmer 17-18°C possibilities if high pressure builds. New ECMWF and IMGW updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Warsaw station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$65समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a maximum temperature of 13°C (35.5% implied probability) for Warsaw on April 18, reflecting the latest IMGW-PIB synoptic forecasts and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing northerly winds advecting cool maritime air from the Baltic region amid a persistent upper-level trough over Central Europe. Recent observations confirm this pattern, with April 16 highs around 15-16°C under light cloud cover and chilly mornings near 7°C, aligning with below-average spring conditions (historical April mean high ~13°C). Competing outcomes near 16-20°C (19-20.5%) capture model spread, as GFS and BBC projections suggest slightly warmer 17-18°C possibilities if high pressure builds. New ECMWF and IMGW updates expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Warsaw station data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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