Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature on May 12 at 14°C, backed by official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station and convergent forecasts from ECMWF ensembles and Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW). Midday readings hovered around 12°C under persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and brisk northwest winds advecting cool maritime air that sharply curtailed solar insolation—well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Updated model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal divergence, with persistent cloud cover suppressing any significant afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include an improbable prolonged clearing allowing a late-day insolation spike to 15°C, though ongoing precipitation renders this low-risk; final resolution awaits finalized airport data through midnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 12?
14°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$84,997 वॉल्यूम
$84,997 वॉल्यूम
12 मई, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$84,997 वॉल्यूम
$84,997 वॉल्यूम
12 मई, 2026
5°C or below
$3,542 वॉल्यूम
No
6°C
$3,513 वॉल्यूम
No
7°C
$3,491 वॉल्यूम
No
8°C
$3,447 वॉल्यूम
No
9°C
$4,428 वॉल्यूम
No
10°C
$2,954 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$7,348 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$23,286 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$7,089 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$15,290 वॉल्यूम
Yes
15°C or higher
$10,609 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature on May 12 at 14°C, backed by official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station and convergent forecasts from ECMWF ensembles and Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW). Midday readings hovered around 12°C under persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and brisk northwest winds advecting cool maritime air that sharply curtailed solar insolation—well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Updated model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal divergence, with persistent cloud cover suppressing any significant afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include an improbable prolonged clearing allowing a late-day insolation spike to 15°C, though ongoing precipitation renders this low-risk; final resolution awaits finalized airport data through midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$84,997समाप्ति तिथि
12 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature on May 12 at 14°C, backed by official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station and convergent forecasts from ECMWF ensembles and Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW). Midday readings hovered around 12°C under persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and brisk northwest winds advecting cool maritime air that sharply curtailed solar insolation—well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Updated model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal divergence, with persistent cloud cover suppressing any significant afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include an improbable prolonged clearing allowing a late-day insolation spike to 15°C, though ongoing precipitation renders this low-risk; final resolution awaits finalized airport data through midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$84,997समाप्ति तिथि
12 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 10, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature on May 12 at 14°C, backed by official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport station and convergent forecasts from ECMWF ensembles and Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW). Midday readings hovered around 12°C under persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and brisk northwest winds advecting cool maritime air that sharply curtailed solar insolation—well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Updated model runs over the past 24 hours show minimal divergence, with persistent cloud cover suppressing any significant afternoon heating. Realistic challenges include an improbable prolonged clearing allowing a late-day insolation spike to 15°C, though ongoing precipitation renders this low-risk; final resolution awaits finalized airport data through midnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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