Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) METAR reports confirm the city's highest temperature on May 5 peaked at 28°C during midday hours, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid clear skies and a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and allowing solar heating to maximize surface temperatures. Hourly data showed steady climbs from morning lows near 12°C, topping out at 28°C before diurnal cooling set in, aligning with the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts that converged on 27-29°C highs over the past 48 hours. This exceeds Warsaw's early May climatological average of 18-20°C, reflecting mild advection from southern air masses. Realistic challenges would require anomalous late-day urban heat island effects or discrepant readings from secondary stations prompting IMGW revisions, though multi-site consensus renders this improbable; final daily validation expected by evening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 5?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 5?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$71,666 वॉल्यूम
$71,666 वॉल्यूम
5 मई, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$71,666 वॉल्यूम
$71,666 वॉल्यूम
5 मई, 2026
20°C or below
$1,859 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$1,504 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$1,838 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$2,398 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C
$2,718 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C
$4,262 वॉल्यूम
No
26°C
$7,788 वॉल्यूम
No
27°C
$14,548 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$10,972 वॉल्यूम
Yes
29°C
$12,616 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C or higher
$11,164 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) METAR reports confirm the city's highest temperature on May 5 peaked at 28°C during midday hours, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid clear skies and a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and allowing solar heating to maximize surface temperatures. Hourly data showed steady climbs from morning lows near 12°C, topping out at 28°C before diurnal cooling set in, aligning with the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts that converged on 27-29°C highs over the past 48 hours. This exceeds Warsaw's early May climatological average of 18-20°C, reflecting mild advection from southern air masses. Realistic challenges would require anomalous late-day urban heat island effects or discrepant readings from secondary stations prompting IMGW revisions, though multi-site consensus renders this improbable; final daily validation expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$71,666समाप्ति तिथि
5 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) METAR reports confirm the city's highest temperature on May 5 peaked at 28°C during midday hours, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid clear skies and a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and allowing solar heating to maximize surface temperatures. Hourly data showed steady climbs from morning lows near 12°C, topping out at 28°C before diurnal cooling set in, aligning with the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts that converged on 27-29°C highs over the past 48 hours. This exceeds Warsaw's early May climatological average of 18-20°C, reflecting mild advection from southern air masses. Realistic challenges would require anomalous late-day urban heat island effects or discrepant readings from secondary stations prompting IMGW revisions, though multi-site consensus renders this improbable; final daily validation expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$71,666समाप्ति तिथि
5 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) METAR reports confirm the city's highest temperature on May 5 peaked at 28°C during midday hours, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid clear skies and a dominant high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and allowing solar heating to maximize surface temperatures. Hourly data showed steady climbs from morning lows near 12°C, topping out at 28°C before diurnal cooling set in, aligning with the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts that converged on 27-29°C highs over the past 48 hours. This exceeds Warsaw's early May climatological average of 18-20°C, reflecting mild advection from southern air masses. Realistic challenges would require anomalous late-day urban heat island effects or discrepant readings from secondary stations prompting IMGW revisions, though multi-site consensus renders this improbable; final daily validation expected by evening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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