Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Wellington on May 10?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 10?
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$209,322 वॉल्यूम
$209,322 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$209,322 वॉल्यूम
$209,322 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
10°C or below
$4,622 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$2,397 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$6,464 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$3,781 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$5,601 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$6,435 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$22,117 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$26,277 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$81,840 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$20,680 वॉल्यूम
Yes
20°C or higher
$29,107 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$209,322समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$209,322समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 19°C high temperature at Wellington International Airport on May 10, 2026, driven by real-time MetService observations showing peak readings of 19°C during midday under partly cloudy skies and lingering effects of strong northerlies that advected warmer air southward. MetService's latest afternoon forecast confirms this positioning with an 18–19°C range for the Wellington region, aligning with model consensus from short-range numerical weather prediction outputs that factored in post-shower clearing and reduced cloud cover. This exceeds May climatological averages of 15°C due to the frontal passage's warm sector. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon heat burst pushing to 20°C before evening southerlies and showers dominate, though official hourly data through 4 p.m. already locks in the maximum. Final airport readings expected by midnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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