Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather models project a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C in Wellington on May 24 under stable southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, matching the late-autumn climatological normal of 14–15°C at Wellington Airport. This consensus across ensemble guidance underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 15°C. Typical May variability, driven by Cook Strait maritime influences, keeps outliers rare. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or significant model bias, though current runs show minimal spread around the 15°C solution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Wellington on May 24?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 24?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$60,104 वॉल्यूम
$60,104 वॉल्यूम
24 मई, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$60,104 वॉल्यूम
$60,104 वॉल्यूम
24 मई, 2026
10°C or below
$6,298 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$1,817 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$4,081 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$6,705 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$8,186 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$11,694 वॉल्यूम
Yes
16°C
$9,315 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$8,574 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$1,614 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$1,174 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C or higher
$646 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather models project a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C in Wellington on May 24 under stable southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, matching the late-autumn climatological normal of 14–15°C at Wellington Airport. This consensus across ensemble guidance underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 15°C. Typical May variability, driven by Cook Strait maritime influences, keeps outliers rare. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or significant model bias, though current runs show minimal spread around the 15°C solution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 22, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$60,104समाप्ति तिथि
24 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 22, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather models project a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C in Wellington on May 24 under stable southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, matching the late-autumn climatological normal of 14–15°C at Wellington Airport. This consensus across ensemble guidance underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 15°C. Typical May variability, driven by Cook Strait maritime influences, keeps outliers rare. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or significant model bias, though current runs show minimal spread around the 15°C solution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$60,104समाप्ति तिथि
24 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 22, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Official forecasts from MetService New Zealand and aligned numerical weather models project a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C in Wellington on May 24 under stable southerly flow and partly cloudy skies, matching the late-autumn climatological normal of 14–15°C at Wellington Airport. This consensus across ensemble guidance underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 15°C. Typical May variability, driven by Cook Strait maritime influences, keeps outliers rare. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or significant model bias, though current runs show minimal spread around the 15°C solution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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