Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 6, driven by official METAR observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source, which recorded a peak of 32°C around 15:00 local time amid mostly cloudy conditions. Subsequent readings stabilized at 31°C into the evening, aligning with China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting no further intensification under moderating southerly winds and increasing cloud cover. This warm spell exceeds early May climatological averages of 25–28°C but fits recent trends from May 4 (28°C) and May 5 (30°C). Realistic challenges include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding 33°C before midnight, though current cooling trajectories make this improbable; official daily records release expected shortly after 00:00 CST May 7.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 6?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$93,480 वॉल्यूम
$93,480 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$93,480 वॉल्यूम
$93,480 वॉल्यूम
6 मई, 2026
27°C or below
$906 वॉल्यूम
No
28°C
$1,866 वॉल्यूम
No
29°C
$12,456 वॉल्यूम
No
30°C
$11,472 वॉल्यूम
No
31°C
$27,281 वॉल्यूम
No
32°C
$9,947 वॉल्यूम
Yes
33°C
$8,191 वॉल्यूम
No
34°C
$6,596 वॉल्यूम
No
35°C
$5,923 वॉल्यूम
No
36°C
$3,359 वॉल्यूम
No
37°C or higher
$5,483 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 6, driven by official METAR observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source, which recorded a peak of 32°C around 15:00 local time amid mostly cloudy conditions. Subsequent readings stabilized at 31°C into the evening, aligning with China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting no further intensification under moderating southerly winds and increasing cloud cover. This warm spell exceeds early May climatological averages of 25–28°C but fits recent trends from May 4 (28°C) and May 5 (30°C). Realistic challenges include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding 33°C before midnight, though current cooling trajectories make this improbable; official daily records release expected shortly after 00:00 CST May 7.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$93,480समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 6, driven by official METAR observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source, which recorded a peak of 32°C around 15:00 local time amid mostly cloudy conditions. Subsequent readings stabilized at 31°C into the evening, aligning with China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting no further intensification under moderating southerly winds and increasing cloud cover. This warm spell exceeds early May climatological averages of 25–28°C but fits recent trends from May 4 (28°C) and May 5 (30°C). Realistic challenges include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding 33°C before midnight, though current cooling trajectories make this improbable; official daily records release expected shortly after 00:00 CST May 7.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$93,480समाप्ति तिथि
6 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 32°C high temperature in Wuhan on May 6, driven by official METAR observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source, which recorded a peak of 32°C around 15:00 local time amid mostly cloudy conditions. Subsequent readings stabilized at 31°C into the evening, aligning with China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting no further intensification under moderating southerly winds and increasing cloud cover. This warm spell exceeds early May climatological averages of 25–28°C but fits recent trends from May 4 (28°C) and May 5 (30°C). Realistic challenges include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding 33°C before midnight, though current cooling trajectories make this improbable; official daily records release expected shortly after 00:00 CST May 7.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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