Recent meteorological data and forecast models from official Chinese weather services show Wuhan under cooler-than-normal autumn conditions, with daytime highs firmly capped at or below 26°C on September 9. This strong consensus drives the market-implied odds of 100% for 26°C or below, reflecting verified surface observations, regional pressure patterns, and ensemble model agreement that limit warming potential. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–30°C, making the current suppression notable. While forecast uncertainty remains small this close to resolution, an unexpected late-day surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios lack support in current guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9 सितंबर को वुहान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C या उससे कम 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,401 वॉल्यूम
$34,401 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
हाँ
27°C
नहीं
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C
नहीं
31°C
नहीं
32°C
नहीं
33°C
नहीं
34°C
नहीं
35°C
नहीं
36°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
26°C या उससे कम 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,401 वॉल्यूम
$34,401 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
हाँ
27°C
नहीं
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C
नहीं
31°C
नहीं
32°C
नहीं
33°C
नहीं
34°C
नहीं
35°C
नहीं
36°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: हाँ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: हाँ
Recent meteorological data and forecast models from official Chinese weather services show Wuhan under cooler-than-normal autumn conditions, with daytime highs firmly capped at or below 26°C on September 9. This strong consensus drives the market-implied odds of 100% for 26°C or below, reflecting verified surface observations, regional pressure patterns, and ensemble model agreement that limit warming potential. Historical September averages for the city hover near 28–30°C, making the current suppression notable. While forecast uncertainty remains small this close to resolution, an unexpected late-day surge or localized measurement anomaly could theoretically shift the outcome, though such scenarios lack support in current guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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