The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.43-4.47% as of mid-June 2026, having eased modestly over the past month amid shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Key drivers include the trajectory of core PCE and CPI inflation, labor market resilience, and market-implied paths for the federal funds rate, currently in the 4.25-4.5% range with anticipated cuts later in 2026. Elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits continues to exert upward pressure on longer-term yields, while growth forecasts and risk sentiment influence demand. Upcoming catalysts encompass FOMC meetings, June inflation releases, and employment data, which will shape the balance between potential further declines toward 4.0% or below and resistance near current levels through 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$220,258 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
3.9%
27%
3.8%
26%
3.7%
15%
3.6%
14%
3.5%
10%
3.0%
11%
2.0%
7%
1.0%
1%
$220,258 वॉल्यूम
3.9%
$41,703 वॉल्यूम
27%
3.8%
$40,702 वॉल्यूम
26%
3.7%
$26,867 वॉल्यूम
15%
3.6%
$5,146 वॉल्यूम
14%
3.5%
$32,478 वॉल्यूम
10%
3.0%
$755 वॉल्यूम
11%
2.0%
$384 वॉल्यूम
7%
1.0%
$40,463 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.43-4.47% as of mid-June 2026, having eased modestly over the past month amid shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Key drivers include the trajectory of core PCE and CPI inflation, labor market resilience, and market-implied paths for the federal funds rate, currently in the 4.25-4.5% range with anticipated cuts later in 2026. Elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits continues to exert upward pressure on longer-term yields, while growth forecasts and risk sentiment influence demand. Upcoming catalysts encompass FOMC meetings, June inflation releases, and employment data, which will shape the balance between potential further declines toward 4.0% or below and resistance near current levels through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$220,258समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.43-4.47% as of mid-June 2026, having eased modestly over the past month amid shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Key drivers include the trajectory of core PCE and CPI inflation, labor market resilience, and market-implied paths for the federal funds rate, currently in the 4.25-4.5% range with anticipated cuts later in 2026. Elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits continues to exert upward pressure on longer-term yields, while growth forecasts and risk sentiment influence demand. Upcoming catalysts encompass FOMC meetings, June inflation releases, and employment data, which will shape the balance between potential further declines toward 4.0% or below and resistance near current levels through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$220,258समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield stands near 4.43-4.47% as of mid-June 2026, having eased modestly over the past month amid shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Key drivers include the trajectory of core PCE and CPI inflation, labor market resilience, and market-implied paths for the federal funds rate, currently in the 4.25-4.5% range with anticipated cuts later in 2026. Elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits continues to exert upward pressure on longer-term yields, while growth forecasts and risk sentiment influence demand. Upcoming catalysts encompass FOMC meetings, June inflation releases, and employment data, which will shape the balance between potential further declines toward 4.0% or below and resistance near current levels through 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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