The 10-year Treasury yield holds steady near 4.27% amid resilient economic data, with March 2026 nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs—exceeding forecasts—and the unemployment rate dipping to 4.3%, while CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year, though core figures came in softer than expected. These releases have curbed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts from the current 3.50%-3.75% fed funds target range, as affirmed in the March 18 FOMC statement emphasizing solid growth and geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict. Traders price in limited near-term downside via skin-in-the-game consensus, with forecasts pointing to gradual easing toward 4.10% by early 2027. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release, which could shift the market-implied rate path if inflation reaccelerates or labor softens.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$212,630 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
3.9%
73%
3.8%
59%
3.7%
48%
3.6%
41%
3.5%
31%
3.0%
22%
2.0%
12%
1.0%
4%
$212,630 वॉल्यूम
3.9%
$40,051 वॉल्यूम
73%
3.8%
$39,075 वॉल्यूम
59%
3.7%
$26,270 वॉल्यूम
48%
3.6%
$4,723 वॉल्यूम
41%
3.5%
$30,945 वॉल्यूम
31%
3.0%
$277 वॉल्यूम
22%
2.0%
$326 वॉल्यूम
12%
1.0%
$39,204 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield holds steady near 4.27% amid resilient economic data, with March 2026 nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs—exceeding forecasts—and the unemployment rate dipping to 4.3%, while CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year, though core figures came in softer than expected. These releases have curbed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts from the current 3.50%-3.75% fed funds target range, as affirmed in the March 18 FOMC statement emphasizing solid growth and geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict. Traders price in limited near-term downside via skin-in-the-game consensus, with forecasts pointing to gradual easing toward 4.10% by early 2027. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release, which could shift the market-implied rate path if inflation reaccelerates or labor softens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$212,630समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield holds steady near 4.27% amid resilient economic data, with March 2026 nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs—exceeding forecasts—and the unemployment rate dipping to 4.3%, while CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year, though core figures came in softer than expected. These releases have curbed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts from the current 3.50%-3.75% fed funds target range, as affirmed in the March 18 FOMC statement emphasizing solid growth and geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict. Traders price in limited near-term downside via skin-in-the-game consensus, with forecasts pointing to gradual easing toward 4.10% by early 2027. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release, which could shift the market-implied rate path if inflation reaccelerates or labor softens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$212,630समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield holds steady near 4.27% amid resilient economic data, with March 2026 nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs—exceeding forecasts—and the unemployment rate dipping to 4.3%, while CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year, though core figures came in softer than expected. These releases have curbed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts from the current 3.50%-3.75% fed funds target range, as affirmed in the March 18 FOMC statement emphasizing solid growth and geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict. Traders price in limited near-term downside via skin-in-the-game consensus, with forecasts pointing to gradual easing toward 4.10% by early 2027. Key catalysts include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release, which could shift the market-implied rate path if inflation reaccelerates or labor softens.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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