Recent intelligence assessments, including from US and Israeli sources, report that Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—who succeeded his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei after the latter's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28—suffers severe injuries from an airstrike, including possible limb loss or coma-like condition, leaving him unable to govern from Qom. This uncertainty, amid 40-day mourning ceremonies last week and ongoing US-Iran ceasefire talks in Pakistan, drives trader focus on regime stability and Assembly of Experts' role in potential further transitions. Escalation risks or diplomatic breakthroughs could tip outcomes before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$8,895,257 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
30 अप्रैल
7%
31 मई
14%
30 जून
19%
31 दिसंबर
31%
$8,895,257 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
$3,042,528 वॉल्यूम
7%
31 मई
$453,215 वॉल्यूम
14%
30 जून
$441,655 वॉल्यूम
19%
31 दिसंबर
$1,726,938 वॉल्यूम
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent intelligence assessments, including from US and Israeli sources, report that Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—who succeeded his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei after the latter's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28—suffers severe injuries from an airstrike, including possible limb loss or coma-like condition, leaving him unable to govern from Qom. This uncertainty, amid 40-day mourning ceremonies last week and ongoing US-Iran ceasefire talks in Pakistan, drives trader focus on regime stability and Assembly of Experts' role in potential further transitions. Escalation risks or diplomatic breakthroughs could tip outcomes before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,895,257समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent intelligence assessments, including from US and Israeli sources, report that Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—who succeeded his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei after the latter's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28—suffers severe injuries from an airstrike, including possible limb loss or coma-like condition, leaving him unable to govern from Qom. This uncertainty, amid 40-day mourning ceremonies last week and ongoing US-Iran ceasefire talks in Pakistan, drives trader focus on regime stability and Assembly of Experts' role in potential further transitions. Escalation risks or diplomatic breakthroughs could tip outcomes before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$8,895,257समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent intelligence assessments, including from US and Israeli sources, report that Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—who succeeded his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei after the latter's death in a US-Israel airstrike on February 28—suffers severe injuries from an airstrike, including possible limb loss or coma-like condition, leaving him unable to govern from Qom. This uncertainty, amid 40-day mourning ceremonies last week and ongoing US-Iran ceasefire talks in Pakistan, drives trader focus on regime stability and Assembly of Experts' role in potential further transitions. Escalation risks or diplomatic breakthroughs could tip outcomes before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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