Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Supreme Leader in March 2026 following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select him amid an interim leadership council and ongoing military operations. As of mid-September 2026, he retains de facto authority despite limited public visibility, with Iranian officials confirming his active role and rejecting rumors of incapacity or removal. Trader assessments of near-term leadership change reflect the regime’s institutional continuity through clerical bodies, IRGC influence, and constitutional succession rules, tempered by sustained external pressure, sanctions, naval blockades, and domestic economic strain. Key variables include escalation in regional hostilities, health developments, or shifts in elite alignments that could alter the current equilibrium before resolution dates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$25,233,775 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
2%
31 अक्टूबर
6%
30 नवंबर
9%
31 दिसंबर
15%
30 जून, 2027
29%
$25,233,775 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$1,045,232 वॉल्यूम
2%
31 अक्टूबर
$86,628 वॉल्यूम
6%
30 नवंबर
$43,709 वॉल्यूम
9%
31 दिसंबर
$4,467,629 वॉल्यूम
15%
30 जून, 2027
$303,440 वॉल्यूम
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Supreme Leader in March 2026 following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select him amid an interim leadership council and ongoing military operations. As of mid-September 2026, he retains de facto authority despite limited public visibility, with Iranian officials confirming his active role and rejecting rumors of incapacity or removal. Trader assessments of near-term leadership change reflect the regime’s institutional continuity through clerical bodies, IRGC influence, and constitutional succession rules, tempered by sustained external pressure, sanctions, naval blockades, and domestic economic strain. Key variables include escalation in regional hostilities, health developments, or shifts in elite alignments that could alter the current equilibrium before resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,233,775समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Supreme Leader in March 2026 following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select him amid an interim leadership council and ongoing military operations. As of mid-September 2026, he retains de facto authority despite limited public visibility, with Iranian officials confirming his active role and rejecting rumors of incapacity or removal. Trader assessments of near-term leadership change reflect the regime’s institutional continuity through clerical bodies, IRGC influence, and constitutional succession rules, tempered by sustained external pressure, sanctions, naval blockades, and domestic economic strain. Key variables include escalation in regional hostilities, health developments, or shifts in elite alignments that could alter the current equilibrium before resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$25,233,775समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed the role of Supreme Leader in March 2026 following U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select him amid an interim leadership council and ongoing military operations. As of mid-September 2026, he retains de facto authority despite limited public visibility, with Iranian officials confirming his active role and rejecting rumors of incapacity or removal. Trader assessments of near-term leadership change reflect the regime’s institutional continuity through clerical bodies, IRGC influence, and constitutional succession rules, tempered by sustained external pressure, sanctions, naval blockades, and domestic economic strain. Key variables include escalation in regional hostilities, health developments, or shifts in elite alignments that could alter the current equilibrium before resolution dates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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