Israel sustains its ground offensive against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, with troops seizing border towns two days ago despite a US-Iran ceasefire that excludes Lebanese operations, prompting Netanyahu to affirm no halt in strikes. Lebanese officials and the Trump administration requested a pause five days ago ahead of US-hosted direct ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, but Israel rejected pre-negotiation truces, and its military chief approved continued action hours ago amid unconfirmed de-escalation rumors. Diplomatic pressures, including Washington mediation, drive trader consensus toward an eventual suspension announcement by mid-2026, though Hezbollah resistance and territorial goals sustain uncertainty, with talks as the pivotal near-term catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइज़राइल ने लेबनान के आक्रामक को निलंबित करने की घोषणा की...?
इज़राइल ने लेबनान के आक्रामक को निलंबित करने की घोषणा की...?
$285,125 वॉल्यूम
April 17
26%
April 30
74%
May 31
87%
June 30
89%
$285,125 वॉल्यूम
April 17
26%
April 30
74%
May 31
87%
June 30
89%
Qualifying announcements must unambiguously indicate a halt to offensive ground operations as well as a halt to military strikes, such as airstrikes, artillery fire, or similar offensive strikes against targets in Lebanon. Statements that unambiguously imply both the cessation of offensive ground operations and strikes may suffice even if not stated explicitly (e.g, “The Israeli Defense Forces have concluded their operations in Lebanon”). An announcement of a total withdrawal of Israeli forces from Lebanese territory is not required.
Announcements that do not indicate a halt to the offensive military operations as a whole (e.g., referring only to a specific phase, type of operation, or geographic subset of operations) will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must clearly indicate that the Israeli military offensive in Lebanon has concluded, is halted, or will conclude or be halted on a specific date, even if only for a defined, limited period. A temporary ceasefire agreement will qualify if it explicitly indicates that the Israeli military offensive in Lebanon is halted.
Informal announcements, statements that the offensive will halt at some undefined future time, or statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli government, and the Israeli military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether Israeli military hostilities actually halt in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 10, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Qualifying announcements must unambiguously indicate a halt to offensive ground operations as well as a halt to military strikes, such as airstrikes, artillery fire, or similar offensive strikes against targets in Lebanon. Statements that unambiguously imply both the cessation of offensive ground operations and strikes may suffice even if not stated explicitly (e.g, “The Israeli Defense Forces have concluded their operations in Lebanon”). An announcement of a total withdrawal of Israeli forces from Lebanese territory is not required.
Announcements that do not indicate a halt to the offensive military operations as a whole (e.g., referring only to a specific phase, type of operation, or geographic subset of operations) will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must clearly indicate that the Israeli military offensive in Lebanon has concluded, is halted, or will conclude or be halted on a specific date, even if only for a defined, limited period. A temporary ceasefire agreement will qualify if it explicitly indicates that the Israeli military offensive in Lebanon is halted.
Informal announcements, statements that the offensive will halt at some undefined future time, or statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official statements from Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli government, and the Israeli military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether Israeli military hostilities actually halt in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israel sustains its ground offensive against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, with troops seizing border towns two days ago despite a US-Iran ceasefire that excludes Lebanese operations, prompting Netanyahu to affirm no halt in strikes. Lebanese officials and the Trump administration requested a pause five days ago ahead of US-hosted direct ceasefire talks between Israel and Lebanon, but Israel rejected pre-negotiation truces, and its military chief approved continued action hours ago amid unconfirmed de-escalation rumors. Diplomatic pressures, including Washington mediation, drive trader consensus toward an eventual suspension announcement by mid-2026, though Hezbollah resistance and territorial goals sustain uncertainty, with talks as the pivotal near-term catalyst.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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