President Trump's recent diplomatic push has driven the 74% yes probability, as he announced historic direct talks between Israel and Lebanon leaders for Thursday following high-level meetings, amid ongoing Israeli strikes on Hezbollah. Trump urged Prime Minister Netanyahu to scale back operations in Lebanon to safeguard the fragile US-Iran ceasefire—explicitly excluding Lebanon but signaling it as a "separate skirmish" to be resolved soon. Israel's security cabinet is now discussing a potential Lebanon ceasefire, with traders viewing these developments, including Trump's appeals and brokered negotiations, as strong indicators of an endorsement by April 30 to stabilize the region and advance broader Middle East de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ट्रम्प 30 अप्रैल तक लेबनान में इजरायली युद्धविराम का समर्थन करेंगे?
क्या ट्रम्प 30 अप्रैल तक लेबनान में इजरायली युद्धविराम का समर्थन करेंगे?
हाँ
$91,479 वॉल्यूम
$91,479 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$91,479 वॉल्यूम
$91,479 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's recent diplomatic push has driven the 74% yes probability, as he announced historic direct talks between Israel and Lebanon leaders for Thursday following high-level meetings, amid ongoing Israeli strikes on Hezbollah. Trump urged Prime Minister Netanyahu to scale back operations in Lebanon to safeguard the fragile US-Iran ceasefire—explicitly excluding Lebanon but signaling it as a "separate skirmish" to be resolved soon. Israel's security cabinet is now discussing a potential Lebanon ceasefire, with traders viewing these developments, including Trump's appeals and brokered negotiations, as strong indicators of an endorsement by April 30 to stabilize the region and advance broader Middle East de-escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$91,479समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's recent diplomatic push has driven the 74% yes probability, as he announced historic direct talks between Israel and Lebanon leaders for Thursday following high-level meetings, amid ongoing Israeli strikes on Hezbollah. Trump urged Prime Minister Netanyahu to scale back operations in Lebanon to safeguard the fragile US-Iran ceasefire—explicitly excluding Lebanon but signaling it as a "separate skirmish" to be resolved soon. Israel's security cabinet is now discussing a potential Lebanon ceasefire, with traders viewing these developments, including Trump's appeals and brokered negotiations, as strong indicators of an endorsement by April 30 to stabilize the region and advance broader Middle East de-escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
वॉल्यूम
$92,879समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent diplomatic push has driven the 74% yes probability, as he announced historic direct talks between Israel and Lebanon leaders for Thursday following high-level meetings, amid ongoing Israeli strikes on Hezbollah. Trump urged Prime Minister Netanyahu to scale back operations in Lebanon to safeguard the fragile US-Iran ceasefire—explicitly excluding Lebanon but signaling it as a "separate skirmish" to be resolved soon. Israel's security cabinet is now discussing a potential Lebanon ceasefire, with traders viewing these developments, including Trump's appeals and brokered negotiations, as strong indicators of an endorsement by April 30 to stabilize the region and advance broader Middle East de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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