Recent marathon indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 ended without a deal, primarily over Iran's insistence on limited uranium enrichment restrictions versus Washington's demand for a 20-year nuclear suspension and removal of enriched material. Despite the deadlock, Vice President JD Vance noted progress on other issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while the White House expressed optimism for a swift second round amid ongoing economic sanctions and a fragile April 7 ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump's signals that the conflict is "close to over" have fueled trader consensus implying 58.5% odds of a nuclear agreement by June 30, though sticking points and Iranian leadership approval needs keep the outcome closely contested ahead of potential resumed talks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून तक अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?
30 जून तक अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?
हाँ
$1,154,240 वॉल्यूम
$1,154,240 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$1,154,240 वॉल्यूम
$1,154,240 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent marathon indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 ended without a deal, primarily over Iran's insistence on limited uranium enrichment restrictions versus Washington's demand for a 20-year nuclear suspension and removal of enriched material. Despite the deadlock, Vice President JD Vance noted progress on other issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while the White House expressed optimism for a swift second round amid ongoing economic sanctions and a fragile April 7 ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump's signals that the conflict is "close to over" have fueled trader consensus implying 58.5% odds of a nuclear agreement by June 30, though sticking points and Iranian leadership approval needs keep the outcome closely contested ahead of potential resumed talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,154,240समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent marathon indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 ended without a deal, primarily over Iran's insistence on limited uranium enrichment restrictions versus Washington's demand for a 20-year nuclear suspension and removal of enriched material. Despite the deadlock, Vice President JD Vance noted progress on other issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while the White House expressed optimism for a swift second round amid ongoing economic sanctions and a fragile April 7 ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump's signals that the conflict is "close to over" have fueled trader consensus implying 58.5% odds of a nuclear agreement by June 30, though sticking points and Iranian leadership approval needs keep the outcome closely contested ahead of potential resumed talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$1,154,240समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent marathon indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 ended without a deal, primarily over Iran's insistence on limited uranium enrichment restrictions versus Washington's demand for a 20-year nuclear suspension and removal of enriched material. Despite the deadlock, Vice President JD Vance noted progress on other issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, while the White House expressed optimism for a swift second round amid ongoing economic sanctions and a fragile April 7 ceasefire nearing expiration. President Trump's signals that the conflict is "close to over" have fueled trader consensus implying 58.5% odds of a nuclear agreement by June 30, though sticking points and Iranian leadership approval needs keep the outcome closely contested ahead of potential resumed talks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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