Recent U.S.-Iran military operations in early 2026, including joint strikes with Israel under Operation Epic Fury, targeted Iranian military infrastructure and leadership but stopped short of ground invasion or territorial occupation. A ceasefire took hold in April, followed by the June Islamabad Memorandum establishing a 60-day negotiation window, sanctions relief tied to verified steps on nuclear issues, and a proposed $300 billion economic development framework. Ongoing diplomatic engagement through technical talks, mediated by regional actors, has prioritized reopening the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation over renewed hostilities. With the recent conflict highlighting high costs in munitions, regional retaliation risks, and global economic disruption, trader consensus reflects the current trajectory toward sustained negotiations rather than escalation to full-scale invasion before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या अमेरिका 2027 से पहले ईरान पर हमला करेगा?
क्या अमेरिका 2027 से पहले ईरान पर हमला करेगा?
हाँ
17% संभावना
$58,593,235 वॉल्यूम
$58,593,235 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
17% संभावना
$58,593,235 वॉल्यूम
$58,593,235 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S.-Iran military operations in early 2026, including joint strikes with Israel under Operation Epic Fury, targeted Iranian military infrastructure and leadership but stopped short of ground invasion or territorial occupation. A ceasefire took hold in April, followed by the June Islamabad Memorandum establishing a 60-day negotiation window, sanctions relief tied to verified steps on nuclear issues, and a proposed $300 billion economic development framework. Ongoing diplomatic engagement through technical talks, mediated by regional actors, has prioritized reopening the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation over renewed hostilities. With the recent conflict highlighting high costs in munitions, regional retaliation risks, and global economic disruption, trader consensus reflects the current trajectory toward sustained negotiations rather than escalation to full-scale invasion before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,593,235समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Recent U.S.-Iran military operations in early 2026, including joint strikes with Israel under Operation Epic Fury, targeted Iranian military infrastructure and leadership but stopped short of ground invasion or territorial occupation. A ceasefire took hold in April, followed by the June Islamabad Memorandum establishing a 60-day negotiation window, sanctions relief tied to verified steps on nuclear issues, and a proposed $300 billion economic development framework. Ongoing diplomatic engagement through technical talks, mediated by regional actors, has prioritized reopening the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation over renewed hostilities. With the recent conflict highlighting high costs in munitions, regional retaliation risks, and global economic disruption, trader consensus reflects the current trajectory toward sustained negotiations rather than escalation to full-scale invasion before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
वॉल्यूम
$58,593,235समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran military operations in early 2026, including joint strikes with Israel under Operation Epic Fury, targeted Iranian military infrastructure and leadership but stopped short of ground invasion or territorial occupation. A ceasefire took hold in April, followed by the June Islamabad Memorandum establishing a 60-day negotiation window, sanctions relief tied to verified steps on nuclear issues, and a proposed $300 billion economic development framework. Ongoing diplomatic engagement through technical talks, mediated by regional actors, has prioritized reopening the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation over renewed hostilities. With the recent conflict highlighting high costs in munitions, regional retaliation risks, and global economic disruption, trader consensus reflects the current trajectory toward sustained negotiations rather than escalation to full-scale invasion before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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