Ukraine’s political landscape features ongoing cabinet reshuffles, anti-corruption probes targeting officials close to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and public protests over military leadership changes, yet these have resolved through institutional channels rather than extra-constitutional challenges. The July 2026 dismissal of reformist Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov sparked nationwide demonstrations and prompted Zelenskyy to replace Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi with Mykhailo Drapatyi, while Fedorov’s subsequent calls for elections highlighted tensions without triggering coordinated action by security forces. Early September incidents, including an SBU-HUR shootout tied to an alleged Russian FSB plot, reflect internal frictions but align with counterintelligence operations amid the active conflict. Martial law continues to bar elections, limiting formal avenues for power transitions. Trader consensus prices a coup attempt by year-end at low single digits, reflecting the absence of verified elite or military mobilization against the government despite these strains.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$169,817 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर
6%
$169,817 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$151,981 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine’s political landscape features ongoing cabinet reshuffles, anti-corruption probes targeting officials close to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and public protests over military leadership changes, yet these have resolved through institutional channels rather than extra-constitutional challenges. The July 2026 dismissal of reformist Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov sparked nationwide demonstrations and prompted Zelenskyy to replace Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi with Mykhailo Drapatyi, while Fedorov’s subsequent calls for elections highlighted tensions without triggering coordinated action by security forces. Early September incidents, including an SBU-HUR shootout tied to an alleged Russian FSB plot, reflect internal frictions but align with counterintelligence operations amid the active conflict. Martial law continues to bar elections, limiting formal avenues for power transitions. Trader consensus prices a coup attempt by year-end at low single digits, reflecting the absence of verified elite or military mobilization against the government despite these strains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$169,817समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine’s political landscape features ongoing cabinet reshuffles, anti-corruption probes targeting officials close to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and public protests over military leadership changes, yet these have resolved through institutional channels rather than extra-constitutional challenges. The July 2026 dismissal of reformist Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov sparked nationwide demonstrations and prompted Zelenskyy to replace Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi with Mykhailo Drapatyi, while Fedorov’s subsequent calls for elections highlighted tensions without triggering coordinated action by security forces. Early September incidents, including an SBU-HUR shootout tied to an alleged Russian FSB plot, reflect internal frictions but align with counterintelligence operations amid the active conflict. Martial law continues to bar elections, limiting formal avenues for power transitions. Trader consensus prices a coup attempt by year-end at low single digits, reflecting the absence of verified elite or military mobilization against the government despite these strains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$169,817समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s political landscape features ongoing cabinet reshuffles, anti-corruption probes targeting officials close to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and public protests over military leadership changes, yet these have resolved through institutional channels rather than extra-constitutional challenges. The July 2026 dismissal of reformist Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov sparked nationwide demonstrations and prompted Zelenskyy to replace Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi with Mykhailo Drapatyi, while Fedorov’s subsequent calls for elections highlighted tensions without triggering coordinated action by security forces. Early September incidents, including an SBU-HUR shootout tied to an alleged Russian FSB plot, reflect internal frictions but align with counterintelligence operations amid the active conflict. Martial law continues to bar elections, limiting formal avenues for power transitions. Trader consensus prices a coup attempt by year-end at low single digits, reflecting the absence of verified elite or military mobilization against the government despite these strains.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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