Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers and Central Committee members throughout 2025 and 2026 have removed multiple potential centers of institutional resistance, replacing them with loyalists under direct Central Military Commission oversight. These actions, officially tied to corruption and discipline cases, have left the military high command heavily staffed by figures without independent power bases. Recent unverified social-media rumors of leadership illness or rival mobilization following the India visit have produced no confirmed elite fractures or coordinated challenges in credible reporting. Traders’ 96 percent consensus on no coup attempt before 2027 reflects this sustained consolidation alongside the absence of verifiable opposition activity. Late-breaking health events or undetected internal plots remain the primary low-probability variables that could still shift outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
4% संभावना
$156,956 वॉल्यूम
$156,956 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
4% संभावना
$156,956 वॉल्यूम
$156,956 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers and Central Committee members throughout 2025 and 2026 have removed multiple potential centers of institutional resistance, replacing them with loyalists under direct Central Military Commission oversight. These actions, officially tied to corruption and discipline cases, have left the military high command heavily staffed by figures without independent power bases. Recent unverified social-media rumors of leadership illness or rival mobilization following the India visit have produced no confirmed elite fractures or coordinated challenges in credible reporting. Traders’ 96 percent consensus on no coup attempt before 2027 reflects this sustained consolidation alongside the absence of verifiable opposition activity. Late-breaking health events or undetected internal plots remain the primary low-probability variables that could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$156,956समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers and Central Committee members throughout 2025 and 2026 have removed multiple potential centers of institutional resistance, replacing them with loyalists under direct Central Military Commission oversight. These actions, officially tied to corruption and discipline cases, have left the military high command heavily staffed by figures without independent power bases. Recent unverified social-media rumors of leadership illness or rival mobilization following the India visit have produced no confirmed elite fractures or coordinated challenges in credible reporting. Traders’ 96 percent consensus on no coup attempt before 2027 reflects this sustained consolidation alongside the absence of verifiable opposition activity. Late-breaking health events or undetected internal plots remain the primary low-probability variables that could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$156,956समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers and Central Committee members throughout 2025 and 2026 have removed multiple potential centers of institutional resistance, replacing them with loyalists under direct Central Military Commission oversight. These actions, officially tied to corruption and discipline cases, have left the military high command heavily staffed by figures without independent power bases. Recent unverified social-media rumors of leadership illness or rival mobilization following the India visit have produced no confirmed elite fractures or coordinated challenges in credible reporting. Traders’ 96 percent consensus on no coup attempt before 2027 reflects this sustained consolidation alongside the absence of verifiable opposition activity. Late-breaking health events or undetected internal plots remain the primary low-probability variables that could still shift outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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