Iran’s post-war leadership faces deepening internal divisions following Ali Khamenei’s February 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei’s appointment as supreme leader. Hardline factions, including the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a “soft coup” or “political coup” by expanding the Supreme National Security Council’s authority, limiting parliamentary oversight, and pursuing U.S. negotiations that allegedly sideline revolutionary institutions and the new leader’s directives. Mojtaba remains largely absent from public view, fueling speculation. Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei warned in mid-August of potential coups and infiltration, while recent reports note military figures consolidating visible control amid economic strain and a fragile ceasefire. These factional tensions over decision-making and succession shape assessments of regime stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2,123,266 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर
9%
$2,123,266 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$82,040 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s post-war leadership faces deepening internal divisions following Ali Khamenei’s February 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei’s appointment as supreme leader. Hardline factions, including the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a “soft coup” or “political coup” by expanding the Supreme National Security Council’s authority, limiting parliamentary oversight, and pursuing U.S. negotiations that allegedly sideline revolutionary institutions and the new leader’s directives. Mojtaba remains largely absent from public view, fueling speculation. Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei warned in mid-August of potential coups and infiltration, while recent reports note military figures consolidating visible control amid economic strain and a fragile ceasefire. These factional tensions over decision-making and succession shape assessments of regime stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,123,266समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s post-war leadership faces deepening internal divisions following Ali Khamenei’s February 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei’s appointment as supreme leader. Hardline factions, including the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a “soft coup” or “political coup” by expanding the Supreme National Security Council’s authority, limiting parliamentary oversight, and pursuing U.S. negotiations that allegedly sideline revolutionary institutions and the new leader’s directives. Mojtaba remains largely absent from public view, fueling speculation. Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei warned in mid-August of potential coups and infiltration, while recent reports note military figures consolidating visible control amid economic strain and a fragile ceasefire. These factional tensions over decision-making and succession shape assessments of regime stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$2,123,266समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s post-war leadership faces deepening internal divisions following Ali Khamenei’s February 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei’s appointment as supreme leader. Hardline factions, including the Paydari Front, have repeatedly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a “soft coup” or “political coup” by expanding the Supreme National Security Council’s authority, limiting parliamentary oversight, and pursuing U.S. negotiations that allegedly sideline revolutionary institutions and the new leader’s directives. Mojtaba remains largely absent from public view, fueling speculation. Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei warned in mid-August of potential coups and infiltration, while recent reports note military figures consolidating visible control amid economic strain and a fragile ceasefire. These factional tensions over decision-making and succession shape assessments of regime stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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