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icon for रूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?
राजनीति·रूस

रूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?

icon for रूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?
राजनीति·रूस

रूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?

$7,751,190 वॉल्यूम

31 अक्टू, 2026
Polymarket

$7,751,190 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

31 अक्टूबर

$1,679,645 वॉल्यूम

7%

30 नवंबर

$5,463 वॉल्यूम

12%

31 दिसंबर

$2,648,859 वॉल्यूम

21%

31 जनवरी, 2027

$30,230 वॉल्यूम

28%

28 फरवरी, 2027

$5,126 वॉल्यूम

34%

31 मार्च, 2027

$71,793 वॉल्यूम

38%

30 अप्रैल, 2027

$1,555 वॉल्यूम

39%

31 मई, 2027

$2,966 वॉल्यूम

50%

30 जून, 2027

$152,267 वॉल्यूम

56%

31 जुलाई, 2027

$1,450 वॉल्यूम

56%

31 अगस्त, 2027

$679 वॉल्यूम

61%

30 सितंबर, 2027

$866 वॉल्यूम

60%

31 अक्टूबर, 2027

$3,287 वॉल्यूम

61%

30 नवंबर, 2027

$1,312 वॉल्यूम

66%

31 दिसंबर, 2027

$22,186 वॉल्यूम

72%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomatic efforts have intensified in September 2026, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner visiting Moscow and Kyiv to revive trilateral talks between the United States, Russia, and Ukraine. Both sides have signaled openness to resuming negotiations, potentially in October, following earlier rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that stalled over territorial demands. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining areas in Donbas and other regions, while Ukraine rejects unilateral concessions without security guarantees. Recent attempts at a partial energy infrastructure truce collapsed amid ongoing strikes by both sides, with Russia linking any de-escalation to broader issues like sanctions relief. These persistent gaps in positions and battlefield dynamics shape trader assessments of near-term ceasefire prospects.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.

A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.

Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.

Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.

If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,751,190
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated diplomatic efforts have intensified in September 2026, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner visiting Moscow and Kyiv to revive trilateral talks between the United States, Russia, and Ukraine. Both sides have signaled openness to resuming negotiations, potentially in October, following earlier rounds in Abu Dhabi and Geneva that stalled over territorial demands. Russia continues to insist on Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining areas in Donbas and other regions, while Ukraine rejects unilateral concessions without security guarantees. Recent attempts at a partial energy infrastructure truce collapsed amid ongoing strikes by both sides, with Russia linking any de-escalation to broader issues like sanctions relief. These persistent gaps in positions and battlefield dynamics shape trader assessments of near-term ceasefire prospects.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.

A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.

Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.

Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.

If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries. A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify. Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement. Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify. If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,751,190
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
May 12, 2026, 11:28 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...

संबंधित

icon for रूस-यूक्रेन शांति वार्ता 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक?

रूस-यूक्रेन शांति वार्ता 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक?

67%
हाँ
icon for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

14%
icon for क्या यूक्रेन 2027 से पहले रूस को क्षेत्र सौंपने के लिए सहमत हो जाएगा?

क्या यूक्रेन 2027 से पहले रूस को क्षेत्र सौंपने के लिए सहमत हो जाएगा?

7%
हाँ

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"रूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?" Polymarket पर 18 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 दिसंबर, 2027 72% (72¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 30 नवंबर, 2027 66% पर है।

आज तक, "रूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?" ने कुल $7.8 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 12, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

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"रूस x यूक्रेन द्वारा संघर्ष विराम समझौता...?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "31 दिसंबर, 2027" 72% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "30 नवंबर, 2027" 66% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

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