President Zelenskyy's repeated public refusals to cede any Ukrainian territory to Russia, most recently amid stalled trilateral talks with the US, anchor trader consensus at 83.5% probability on "No" before 2027. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire agreed April 10-12—Russia's first unilateral pause in months—quickly unraveled amid mutual breach accusations, with Moscow conditioning extensions on Kyiv's acceptance of its maximalist demands, including annexed regions like Donbas and Crimea. Ongoing military stalemate, constitutional barriers requiring referendums for territorial changes, and Ukraine's insistence on full restoration of 1991 borders amid sustained Western arms support leave little room for concessions despite diplomatic pressures from Washington and Brussels. Upcoming US-Russia-Ukraine discussions post-Iran truce could test this resolve, but historical negotiation failures reinforce skepticism.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या यूक्रेन 2027 से पहले रूस को क्षेत्र सौंपने के लिए सहमत होगा?
क्या यूक्रेन 2027 से पहले रूस को क्षेत्र सौंपने के लिए सहमत होगा?
हाँ
$548,289 वॉल्यूम
$548,289 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$548,289 वॉल्यूम
$548,289 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Zelenskyy's repeated public refusals to cede any Ukrainian territory to Russia, most recently amid stalled trilateral talks with the US, anchor trader consensus at 83.5% probability on "No" before 2027. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire agreed April 10-12—Russia's first unilateral pause in months—quickly unraveled amid mutual breach accusations, with Moscow conditioning extensions on Kyiv's acceptance of its maximalist demands, including annexed regions like Donbas and Crimea. Ongoing military stalemate, constitutional barriers requiring referendums for territorial changes, and Ukraine's insistence on full restoration of 1991 borders amid sustained Western arms support leave little room for concessions despite diplomatic pressures from Washington and Brussels. Upcoming US-Russia-Ukraine discussions post-Iran truce could test this resolve, but historical negotiation failures reinforce skepticism.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$548,289समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.President Zelenskyy's repeated public refusals to cede any Ukrainian territory to Russia, most recently amid stalled trilateral talks with the US, anchor trader consensus at 83.5% probability on "No" before 2027. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire agreed April 10-12—Russia's first unilateral pause in months—quickly unraveled amid mutual breach accusations, with Moscow conditioning extensions on Kyiv's acceptance of its maximalist demands, including annexed regions like Donbas and Crimea. Ongoing military stalemate, constitutional barriers requiring referendums for territorial changes, and Ukraine's insistence on full restoration of 1991 borders amid sustained Western arms support leave little room for concessions despite diplomatic pressures from Washington and Brussels. Upcoming US-Russia-Ukraine discussions post-Iran truce could test this resolve, but historical negotiation failures reinforce skepticism.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to cede any territory under its control at the time of the agreement is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$548,289समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Zelenskyy's repeated public refusals to cede any Ukrainian territory to Russia, most recently amid stalled trilateral talks with the US, anchor trader consensus at 83.5% probability on "No" before 2027. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire agreed April 10-12—Russia's first unilateral pause in months—quickly unraveled amid mutual breach accusations, with Moscow conditioning extensions on Kyiv's acceptance of its maximalist demands, including annexed regions like Donbas and Crimea. Ongoing military stalemate, constitutional barriers requiring referendums for territorial changes, and Ukraine's insistence on full restoration of 1991 borders amid sustained Western arms support leave little room for concessions despite diplomatic pressures from Washington and Brussels. Upcoming US-Russia-Ukraine discussions post-Iran truce could test this resolve, but historical negotiation failures reinforce skepticism.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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