Traders price the Russia-Ukraine peace combo at just 5.5% Yes because recent diplomatic efforts resemble a squad in extended losing form, with trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva producing only prisoner exchanges but no ceasefire or territorial concessions. Persistent airstrikes and demands over Donetsk territory function like recurring injuries and tough road matchups that block momentum shifts, while Ukraine's insistence on long-term security guarantees mirrors a team refusing to alter its defensive scheme against a stronger opponent. Historical patterns of stalled negotiations and the December 2026 resolution deadline reinforce the market's heavy lean toward no agreement, though late breakthroughs remain possible if leadership-level talks advance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
6% संभावना
$620,161 वॉल्यूम
$620,161 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
6% संभावना
$620,161 वॉल्यूम
$620,161 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTraders price the Russia-Ukraine peace combo at just 5.5% Yes because recent diplomatic efforts resemble a squad in extended losing form, with trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva producing only prisoner exchanges but no ceasefire or territorial concessions. Persistent airstrikes and demands over Donetsk territory function like recurring injuries and tough road matchups that block momentum shifts, while Ukraine's insistence on long-term security guarantees mirrors a team refusing to alter its defensive scheme against a stronger opponent. Historical patterns of stalled negotiations and the December 2026 resolution deadline reinforce the market's heavy lean toward no agreement, though late breakthroughs remain possible if leadership-level talks advance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$620,161समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTraders price the Russia-Ukraine peace combo at just 5.5% Yes because recent diplomatic efforts resemble a squad in extended losing form, with trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva producing only prisoner exchanges but no ceasefire or territorial concessions. Persistent airstrikes and demands over Donetsk territory function like recurring injuries and tough road matchups that block momentum shifts, while Ukraine's insistence on long-term security guarantees mirrors a team refusing to alter its defensive scheme against a stronger opponent. Historical patterns of stalled negotiations and the December 2026 resolution deadline reinforce the market's heavy lean toward no agreement, though late breakthroughs remain possible if leadership-level talks advance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$620,161समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Traders price the Russia-Ukraine peace combo at just 5.5% Yes because recent diplomatic efforts resemble a squad in extended losing form, with trilateral talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva producing only prisoner exchanges but no ceasefire or territorial concessions. Persistent airstrikes and demands over Donetsk territory function like recurring injuries and tough road matchups that block momentum shifts, while Ukraine's insistence on long-term security guarantees mirrors a team refusing to alter its defensive scheme against a stronger opponent. Historical patterns of stalled negotiations and the December 2026 resolution deadline reinforce the market's heavy lean toward no agreement, though late breakthroughs remain possible if leadership-level talks advance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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