Ongoing Russian military advances in eastern Ukraine, coupled with mutual accusations of violating the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce announced on April 9, have reinforced trader skepticism toward a comprehensive peace deal before 2027. Despite Zelenskiy's top aide stating on April 10 that negotiations are progressing toward potential compromise, core sticking points—Russia's demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, territorial recognition including Crimea, and security guarantees—remain unresolved, as highlighted in stalled U.S.-mediated talks since February Geneva meetings. Prisoner exchanges continue amid intensified strikes, but no breakthrough has materialized, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing a 72% "No" probability on enduring diplomatic barriers and battlefield momentum favoring prolonged conflict.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$200,393 वॉल्यूम
$200,393 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$200,393 वॉल्यूम
$200,393 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing Russian military advances in eastern Ukraine, coupled with mutual accusations of violating the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce announced on April 9, have reinforced trader skepticism toward a comprehensive peace deal before 2027. Despite Zelenskiy's top aide stating on April 10 that negotiations are progressing toward potential compromise, core sticking points—Russia's demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, territorial recognition including Crimea, and security guarantees—remain unresolved, as highlighted in stalled U.S.-mediated talks since February Geneva meetings. Prisoner exchanges continue amid intensified strikes, but no breakthrough has materialized, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing a 72% "No" probability on enduring diplomatic barriers and battlefield momentum favoring prolonged conflict.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$200,393समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing Russian military advances in eastern Ukraine, coupled with mutual accusations of violating the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce announced on April 9, have reinforced trader skepticism toward a comprehensive peace deal before 2027. Despite Zelenskiy's top aide stating on April 10 that negotiations are progressing toward potential compromise, core sticking points—Russia's demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, territorial recognition including Crimea, and security guarantees—remain unresolved, as highlighted in stalled U.S.-mediated talks since February Geneva meetings. Prisoner exchanges continue amid intensified strikes, but no breakthrough has materialized, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing a 72% "No" probability on enduring diplomatic barriers and battlefield momentum favoring prolonged conflict.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$200,393समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Russian military advances in eastern Ukraine, coupled with mutual accusations of violating the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce announced on April 9, have reinforced trader skepticism toward a comprehensive peace deal before 2027. Despite Zelenskiy's top aide stating on April 10 that negotiations are progressing toward potential compromise, core sticking points—Russia's demands for Ukrainian withdrawal from Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, territorial recognition including Crimea, and security guarantees—remain unresolved, as highlighted in stalled U.S.-mediated talks since February Geneva meetings. Prisoner exchanges continue amid intensified strikes, but no breakthrough has materialized, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing a 72% "No" probability on enduring diplomatic barriers and battlefield momentum favoring prolonged conflict.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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