Trader consensus reflects near-certainty of no Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, driven by the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce's collapse amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations, followed by immediate resumption of intense military operations including Russian offensives in Sumy Oblast and Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics. Substantive peace talks remain stalled over irreconcilable demands for territorial concessions and security guarantees, with trilateral U.S.-mediated efforts paused amid distractions like the Iran conflict and fading American commitments. Ongoing battlefield stalemate, marked by slow Russian advances and high casualties, reinforces skepticism, though a sudden diplomatic intervention or major concession could theoretically shift dynamics before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अप्रैल, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
30 अप्रैल, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
हाँ
$6,894,093 वॉल्यूम
$6,894,093 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$6,894,093 वॉल्यूम
$6,894,093 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty of no Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, driven by the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce's collapse amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations, followed by immediate resumption of intense military operations including Russian offensives in Sumy Oblast and Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics. Substantive peace talks remain stalled over irreconcilable demands for territorial concessions and security guarantees, with trilateral U.S.-mediated efforts paused amid distractions like the Iran conflict and fading American commitments. Ongoing battlefield stalemate, marked by slow Russian advances and high casualties, reinforces skepticism, though a sudden diplomatic intervention or major concession could theoretically shift dynamics before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 26, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,894,093समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty of no Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, driven by the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce's collapse amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations, followed by immediate resumption of intense military operations including Russian offensives in Sumy Oblast and Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics. Substantive peace talks remain stalled over irreconcilable demands for territorial concessions and security guarantees, with trilateral U.S.-mediated efforts paused amid distractions like the Iran conflict and fading American commitments. Ongoing battlefield stalemate, marked by slow Russian advances and high casualties, reinforces skepticism, though a sudden diplomatic intervention or major concession could theoretically shift dynamics before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$6,894,102समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty of no Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, driven by the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce's collapse amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations, followed by immediate resumption of intense military operations including Russian offensives in Sumy Oblast and Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian logistics. Substantive peace talks remain stalled over irreconcilable demands for territorial concessions and security guarantees, with trilateral U.S.-mediated efforts paused amid distractions like the Iran conflict and fading American commitments. Ongoing battlefield stalemate, marked by slow Russian advances and high casualties, reinforces skepticism, though a sudden diplomatic intervention or major concession could theoretically shift dynamics before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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