Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027, driven by persistent military escalation despite recent diplomatic gestures. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce agreed April 10–11 faced mutual accusations of violations, including strikes killing civilians, highlighting deep mistrust amid Russia's spring offensive and Ukraine's defensive counterstrikes. Ukrainian intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov claimed April 10 talks are progressing toward compromise, but Moscow described the pause as purely humanitarian with no extension, insisting on preconditions like Donbas withdrawal. US-mediated Geneva rounds in February stalled over Middle East tensions, though Russia's April 8 welcome of an Iran ceasefire signals hopes for resumed negotiations; entrenched territorial disputes and security guarantee gaps sustain skepticism for near-term de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
$14,999 वॉल्यूम
$14,999 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2027
$14,999 वॉल्यूम
$14,999 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027, driven by persistent military escalation despite recent diplomatic gestures. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce agreed April 10–11 faced mutual accusations of violations, including strikes killing civilians, highlighting deep mistrust amid Russia's spring offensive and Ukraine's defensive counterstrikes. Ukrainian intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov claimed April 10 talks are progressing toward compromise, but Moscow described the pause as purely humanitarian with no extension, insisting on preconditions like Donbas withdrawal. US-mediated Geneva rounds in February stalled over Middle East tensions, though Russia's April 8 welcome of an Iran ceasefire signals hopes for resumed negotiations; entrenched territorial disputes and security guarantee gaps sustain skepticism for near-term de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,999समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027, driven by persistent military escalation despite recent diplomatic gestures. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce agreed April 10–11 faced mutual accusations of violations, including strikes killing civilians, highlighting deep mistrust amid Russia's spring offensive and Ukraine's defensive counterstrikes. Ukrainian intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov claimed April 10 talks are progressing toward compromise, but Moscow described the pause as purely humanitarian with no extension, insisting on preconditions like Donbas withdrawal. US-mediated Geneva rounds in February stalled over Middle East tensions, though Russia's April 8 welcome of an Iran ceasefire signals hopes for resumed negotiations; entrenched territorial disputes and security guarantee gaps sustain skepticism for near-term de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$14,999समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 58% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027, driven by persistent military escalation despite recent diplomatic gestures. A 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce agreed April 10–11 faced mutual accusations of violations, including strikes killing civilians, highlighting deep mistrust amid Russia's spring offensive and Ukraine's defensive counterstrikes. Ukrainian intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov claimed April 10 talks are progressing toward compromise, but Moscow described the pause as purely humanitarian with no extension, insisting on preconditions like Donbas withdrawal. US-mediated Geneva rounds in February stalled over Middle East tensions, though Russia's April 8 welcome of an Iran ceasefire signals hopes for resumed negotiations; entrenched territorial disputes and security guarantee gaps sustain skepticism for near-term de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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