The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, announced April 11 by Presidents Putin and Zelenskyy, collapsed amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations by Russia, underscoring persistent hostilities as the primary driver of trader consensus pricing "No" at 70.5%. Broader diplomatic efforts, including stalled U.S.-mediated Geneva talks in February and trilateral discussions hampered by the Iran conflict, show no progress on core territorial disputes, with Russia demanding concessions Ukraine rejects. Ongoing Russian spring offensives and Ukrainian drone strikes maintain battlefield stalemate, while Zelenskyy conditions halts on ceased energy attacks. With no scheduled summits or breakthroughs in sight, traders reflect skin-in-the-game skepticism toward a full ceasefire by December 31 absent major de-escalation signals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$14,068,338 वॉल्यूम
$14,068,338 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4% कमाएँ
हाँ
$14,068,338 वॉल्यूम
$14,068,338 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4% कमाएँ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, announced April 11 by Presidents Putin and Zelenskyy, collapsed amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations by Russia, underscoring persistent hostilities as the primary driver of trader consensus pricing "No" at 70.5%. Broader diplomatic efforts, including stalled U.S.-mediated Geneva talks in February and trilateral discussions hampered by the Iran conflict, show no progress on core territorial disputes, with Russia demanding concessions Ukraine rejects. Ongoing Russian spring offensives and Ukrainian drone strikes maintain battlefield stalemate, while Zelenskyy conditions halts on ceased energy attacks. With no scheduled summits or breakthroughs in sight, traders reflect skin-in-the-game skepticism toward a full ceasefire by December 31 absent major de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,068,338समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, announced April 11 by Presidents Putin and Zelenskyy, collapsed amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations by Russia, underscoring persistent hostilities as the primary driver of trader consensus pricing "No" at 70.5%. Broader diplomatic efforts, including stalled U.S.-mediated Geneva talks in February and trilateral discussions hampered by the Iran conflict, show no progress on core territorial disputes, with Russia demanding concessions Ukraine rejects. Ongoing Russian spring offensives and Ukrainian drone strikes maintain battlefield stalemate, while Zelenskyy conditions halts on ceased energy attacks. With no scheduled summits or breakthroughs in sight, traders reflect skin-in-the-game skepticism toward a full ceasefire by December 31 absent major de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$14,068,338समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire, announced April 11 by Presidents Putin and Zelenskyy, collapsed amid mutual accusations of over 2,000 violations by Russia, underscoring persistent hostilities as the primary driver of trader consensus pricing "No" at 70.5%. Broader diplomatic efforts, including stalled U.S.-mediated Geneva talks in February and trilateral discussions hampered by the Iran conflict, show no progress on core territorial disputes, with Russia demanding concessions Ukraine rejects. Ongoing Russian spring offensives and Ukrainian drone strikes maintain battlefield stalemate, while Zelenskyy conditions halts on ceased energy attacks. With no scheduled summits or breakthroughs in sight, traders reflect skin-in-the-game skepticism toward a full ceasefire by December 31 absent major de-escalation signals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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