The collapse of a brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire on April 11-12, marked by mutual accusations of violations from Russia and Ukraine, has solidified trader consensus against a sustained ceasefire by May 31, pricing "No" at 93.5%. Ongoing military actions—including Russian advances in Luhansk region claims and Ukrainian counterstrikes—underscore deep distrust and irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on territorial preconditions unmet by Kyiv. Zelenskyy's repeated truce proposals, conveyed via US channels, have drawn Kremlin rejections, while trilateral talks stall amid slow battlefield momentum. Though diplomatic surges or US pressure could shift odds, the entrenched stalemate reflects low near-term prospects for de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 मई, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
31 मई, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
हाँ
$440,993 वॉल्यूम
$440,993 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$440,993 वॉल्यूम
$440,993 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The collapse of a brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire on April 11-12, marked by mutual accusations of violations from Russia and Ukraine, has solidified trader consensus against a sustained ceasefire by May 31, pricing "No" at 93.5%. Ongoing military actions—including Russian advances in Luhansk region claims and Ukrainian counterstrikes—underscore deep distrust and irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on territorial preconditions unmet by Kyiv. Zelenskyy's repeated truce proposals, conveyed via US channels, have drawn Kremlin rejections, while trilateral talks stall amid slow battlefield momentum. Though diplomatic surges or US pressure could shift odds, the entrenched stalemate reflects low near-term prospects for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$440,993समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The collapse of a brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire on April 11-12, marked by mutual accusations of violations from Russia and Ukraine, has solidified trader consensus against a sustained ceasefire by May 31, pricing "No" at 93.5%. Ongoing military actions—including Russian advances in Luhansk region claims and Ukrainian counterstrikes—underscore deep distrust and irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on territorial preconditions unmet by Kyiv. Zelenskyy's repeated truce proposals, conveyed via US channels, have drawn Kremlin rejections, while trilateral talks stall amid slow battlefield momentum. Though diplomatic surges or US pressure could shift odds, the entrenched stalemate reflects low near-term prospects for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$440,993समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The collapse of a brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire on April 11-12, marked by mutual accusations of violations from Russia and Ukraine, has solidified trader consensus against a sustained ceasefire by May 31, pricing "No" at 93.5%. Ongoing military actions—including Russian advances in Luhansk region claims and Ukrainian counterstrikes—underscore deep distrust and irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on territorial preconditions unmet by Kyiv. Zelenskyy's repeated truce proposals, conveyed via US channels, have drawn Kremlin rejections, while trilateral talks stall amid slow battlefield momentum. Though diplomatic surges or US pressure could shift odds, the entrenched stalemate reflects low near-term prospects for de-escalation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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