The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire from April 11-12 collapsed amid mutual accusations of thousands of violations by Ukrainian and Russian forces, with fighting resuming at full intensity as of April 13. Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva remain paused over irreconcilable territorial disputes and security guarantees, as Moscow demands eastern concessions Ukraine refuses without NATO backing. Kremlin statements emphasize lasting peace over temporary truces, while Ukrainian negotiators note stalled progress despite financial and military pressures on both sides. Traders' 90.5% "No" consensus reflects entrenched positions and lack of diplomatic momentum, though U.S. mediation or escalation could shift odds before June 30 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
30 जून, 2026 तक रूस और यूक्रेन के बीच संघर्ष विराम?
हाँ
$6,004,778 वॉल्यूम
$6,004,778 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$6,004,778 वॉल्यूम
$6,004,778 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire from April 11-12 collapsed amid mutual accusations of thousands of violations by Ukrainian and Russian forces, with fighting resuming at full intensity as of April 13. Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva remain paused over irreconcilable territorial disputes and security guarantees, as Moscow demands eastern concessions Ukraine refuses without NATO backing. Kremlin statements emphasize lasting peace over temporary truces, while Ukrainian negotiators note stalled progress despite financial and military pressures on both sides. Traders' 90.5% "No" consensus reflects entrenched positions and lack of diplomatic momentum, though U.S. mediation or escalation could shift odds before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,004,778समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire from April 11-12 collapsed amid mutual accusations of thousands of violations by Ukrainian and Russian forces, with fighting resuming at full intensity as of April 13. Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva remain paused over irreconcilable territorial disputes and security guarantees, as Moscow demands eastern concessions Ukraine refuses without NATO backing. Kremlin statements emphasize lasting peace over temporary truces, while Ukrainian negotiators note stalled progress despite financial and military pressures on both sides. Traders' 90.5% "No" consensus reflects entrenched positions and lack of diplomatic momentum, though U.S. mediation or escalation could shift odds before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$6,004,778समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire from April 11-12 collapsed amid mutual accusations of thousands of violations by Ukrainian and Russian forces, with fighting resuming at full intensity as of April 13. Trilateral U.S.-Ukraine-Russia talks in Geneva remain paused over irreconcilable territorial disputes and security guarantees, as Moscow demands eastern concessions Ukraine refuses without NATO backing. Kremlin statements emphasize lasting peace over temporary truces, while Ukrainian negotiators note stalled progress despite financial and military pressures on both sides. Traders' 90.5% "No" consensus reflects entrenched positions and lack of diplomatic momentum, though U.S. mediation or escalation could shift odds before June 30 resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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