Russian forces have intensified offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction over the past week, launching attacks south of Kupyansk near Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi on April 14-15, but ISW assessments confirm no territorial advances as Ukrainian defenses repelled infiltrations, including a strike on Russian elements in nearby Kivsharivka. Earlier Russian claims of capturing the settlement were refuted, with Ukrainian forces affirming full control into late January and conducting clearing operations amid mutual small-scale gains southeast via Kurylivka and Petropavlivka since mid-March. Trader consensus reflects stalled Russian momentum despite stepped-up assaults, Ukrainian counteractions, and historical failures like unfulfilled February capture promises, with ongoing frontline clashes likely to persist absent major reinforcements or breakthroughs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
April 30
12%
May 31
20%
$302 वॉल्यूम
April 30
$289 वॉल्यूम
12%
May 31
$13 वॉल्यूम
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have intensified offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction over the past week, launching attacks south of Kupyansk near Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi on April 14-15, but ISW assessments confirm no territorial advances as Ukrainian defenses repelled infiltrations, including a strike on Russian elements in nearby Kivsharivka. Earlier Russian claims of capturing the settlement were refuted, with Ukrainian forces affirming full control into late January and conducting clearing operations amid mutual small-scale gains southeast via Kurylivka and Petropavlivka since mid-March. Trader consensus reflects stalled Russian momentum despite stepped-up assaults, Ukrainian counteractions, and historical failures like unfulfilled February capture promises, with ongoing frontline clashes likely to persist absent major reinforcements or breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$302समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have intensified offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction over the past week, launching attacks south of Kupyansk near Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi on April 14-15, but ISW assessments confirm no territorial advances as Ukrainian defenses repelled infiltrations, including a strike on Russian elements in nearby Kivsharivka. Earlier Russian claims of capturing the settlement were refuted, with Ukrainian forces affirming full control into late January and conducting clearing operations amid mutual small-scale gains southeast via Kurylivka and Petropavlivka since mid-March. Trader consensus reflects stalled Russian momentum despite stepped-up assaults, Ukrainian counteractions, and historical failures like unfulfilled February capture promises, with ongoing frontline clashes likely to persist absent major reinforcements or breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, Kharkiv Oblast, (49.657786° N, 37.645515° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$302समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have intensified offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction over the past week, launching attacks south of Kupyansk near Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi on April 14-15, but ISW assessments confirm no territorial advances as Ukrainian defenses repelled infiltrations, including a strike on Russian elements in nearby Kivsharivka. Earlier Russian claims of capturing the settlement were refuted, with Ukrainian forces affirming full control into late January and conducting clearing operations amid mutual small-scale gains southeast via Kurylivka and Petropavlivka since mid-March. Trader consensus reflects stalled Russian momentum despite stepped-up assaults, Ukrainian counteractions, and historical failures like unfulfilled February capture promises, with ongoing frontline clashes likely to persist absent major reinforcements or breakthroughs.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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