Russian forces have intensified ground assaults and drone strikes around Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast's Pokrovsk direction, securing minor gains in eastern outskirts and dacha areas as of April 14-15, but Ukrainian defenders repelled infiltrations with counterattacks, including advances by the 28th Mechanized Brigade recapturing railway sections. ISW reports highlight Ukrainian tactical progress in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka area amid heavy attrition, blocking Russian pushes toward the "fortress belt" cities like Druzhkivka and Slovyansk. Moscow reportedly targets capture by late April, yet slow advances reflect Ukrainian fortifications, flank threats, and logistical strains; no urban control confirmed, with escalation risks from ongoing spring offensives.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$5,850,105 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
10%
30 जून, 2026
52%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
83%
$5,850,105 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
10%
30 जून, 2026
52%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
83%
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg
Train Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg
Kostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 19, 2026, 7:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg
Train Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg
Kostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have intensified ground assaults and drone strikes around Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast's Pokrovsk direction, securing minor gains in eastern outskirts and dacha areas as of April 14-15, but Ukrainian defenders repelled infiltrations with counterattacks, including advances by the 28th Mechanized Brigade recapturing railway sections. ISW reports highlight Ukrainian tactical progress in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka area amid heavy attrition, blocking Russian pushes toward the "fortress belt" cities like Druzhkivka and Slovyansk. Moscow reportedly targets capture by late April, yet slow advances reflect Ukrainian fortifications, flank threats, and logistical strains; no urban control confirmed, with escalation risks from ongoing spring offensives.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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