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icon for क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

icon for क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

हाँ

14% संभावना
Polymarket

$2,566,756 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

14% संभावना
Polymarket

$2,566,756 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to “No” for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan by December 31, 2027, reflecting sustained cross-strait tensions without escalation to kinetic conflict.** China has continued large-scale military exercises simulating blockades, as in December 2025, alongside normalized air and maritime gray-zone pressure, yet these activities have not crossed into offensive operations. U.S.-China diplomacy, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit and arms-sales discussions, has introduced uncertainty around U.S. commitments, while Taiwan’s opposition Kuomintang has pursued direct engagement with Beijing. Economic integration proposals in China’s 15th Five-Year Plan, combined with the high fiscal and supply-chain costs of any full-scale campaign, reinforce the view that Beijing prefers coercive diplomacy and incremental pressure over invasion in the near term. Scheduled leadership interactions and Taiwan’s defensive preparations further support the current market pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,566,756
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to “No” for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan by December 31, 2027, reflecting sustained cross-strait tensions without escalation to kinetic conflict.** China has continued large-scale military exercises simulating blockades, as in December 2025, alongside normalized air and maritime gray-zone pressure, yet these activities have not crossed into offensive operations. U.S.-China diplomacy, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit and arms-sales discussions, has introduced uncertainty around U.S. commitments, while Taiwan’s opposition Kuomintang has pursued direct engagement with Beijing. Economic integration proposals in China’s 15th Five-Year Plan, combined with the high fiscal and supply-chain costs of any full-scale campaign, reinforce the view that Beijing prefers coercive diplomacy and incremental pressure over invasion in the near term. Scheduled leadership interactions and Taiwan’s defensive preparations further support the current market pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,566,756
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा? 14% (14¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" ने कुल $2.6 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 17, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" 14% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।