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icon for क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

icon for क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

हाँ

14% संभावना
Polymarket

$2,541,091 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

14% संभावना
Polymarket

$2,541,091 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US intelligence assessments, including the March 2026 ODNI Annual Threat Assessment, state that Chinese leaders lack a fixed timeline for unification by force and do not currently plan an invasion of Taiwan in 2027. This has shifted expectations away from earlier 2027 risk windows. Beijing continues gray-zone coercion through coast guard operations, air defense identification zone incursions, and routine military exercises, yet shows no large-scale amphibious mobilization or logistics surges required for a cross-strait campaign. Diplomatic engagement, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi discussions, alongside prohibitive economic, military, and alliance risks, sustains trader consensus that an invasion remains unlikely through late 2027. Scheduled exercises and policy signals could still alter positioning within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,541,091
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US intelligence assessments, including the March 2026 ODNI Annual Threat Assessment, state that Chinese leaders lack a fixed timeline for unification by force and do not currently plan an invasion of Taiwan in 2027. This has shifted expectations away from earlier 2027 risk windows. Beijing continues gray-zone coercion through coast guard operations, air defense identification zone incursions, and routine military exercises, yet shows no large-scale amphibious mobilization or logistics surges required for a cross-strait campaign. Diplomatic engagement, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi discussions, alongside prohibitive economic, military, and alliance risks, sustains trader consensus that an invasion remains unlikely through late 2027. Scheduled exercises and policy signals could still alter positioning within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,541,091
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 7:29 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा? 14% (14¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" ने कुल $2.5 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 17, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" 14% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"क्या चीन 31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।